NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6df1e10909fcb9b0e5a0456daa2b4e2ce634d8f26be51001640fc00a95a27a4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 2,580$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.75 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 1,864$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.34 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 47c | 684.17$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.56 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 52c | 602.54$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.54 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 526$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.26 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 48c | 443.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 49c | 266.04$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.68 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 52c | 255.74$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.75 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…976bbacked Under | 48c | 225$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 51c | 194.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 163$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 123$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 45c | 112$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 51c | 106$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd191…e9abbacked Under | 50c | 100.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…1415backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 198 | 44.4%88 W · 110 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Under | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Under | 48c | 41.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19f…f745backed Under | 50c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 59c | 36.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…f34ebacked Under | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 50c | 26.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Under | 48c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Kings: O/U 5.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. KingsKings won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.