NHL · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcba6fd665c709ad3f144e2663b7aeadb137adcc91f1aaaa90f4c18cf9a2fb644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Kings | 42c | 60,876$25,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,309.32 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Blackhawks | 58c | 44,279$25,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,682.08 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Blackhawks | 58c | 15,975$9,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,264.66 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Blackhawks | 59c | 841.65$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.46 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Kings | 44c | 558.79$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.89 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks | 56c | 548.79$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.79 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Blackhawks | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 41c | 159.71$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Kings | 42c | 149.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kings | 41c | 101.49$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…f34ebacked Blackhawks | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Kings | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Blackhawks | 59c | 65.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Kings | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd90…66c2backed Kings | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Blackhawks | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Blackhawks | 58c | 27.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blackhawks | 46c | 26.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blackhawks | 57c | 21.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)this page
- Blackhawks vs. KingsKings won
- Blackhawks vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.