TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Kings, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,260,504
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$994,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,260,504 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Kings9c206,464$18,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,581.7387144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings9c140,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,00096447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Kings9c76,031$7,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,103.1127424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe756…e006backed Kings11c55,521$5,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,99632827.4%90 W · 238 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Kings9c49,077$4,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,416.9215443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings10c48,913$4,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,959.642,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kings10c39,887$4,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,156.092,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa3…7479backed Kings11c34,922$3,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,841.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Kings10c27,900$2,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,751.9547028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Kings10c20,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Kings9c20,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80035235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Kings13c20,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9910837%40 W · 68 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Kings19c17,059$3,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,164.1285742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed Kings6c16,911$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.111450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings10c16,030$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.574,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings23c11,071$2,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,533.794,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Kings20c10,008$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.6838649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Kings15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50037930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Kings9c9,650$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.5327747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Kings12c8,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Kings15c7,467$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10031044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Kings11c6,700$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.9940035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Kings20c6,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20044654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Rockets80c6,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20018518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings19c5,633$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.075,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb8…43f6backed Kings8c5,471$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.767236.1%26 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Kings11c5,050$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Rockets80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00020253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Kings10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.982924.1%7 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Kings12c4,610$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.751,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kings10c4,505$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.8481529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe302…35c4backed Kings10c3,498$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.8330%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a9…0b72backed Kings11c3,100$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Kings10c3,070$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30710930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Kings9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kings10c2,870$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.21,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcceb…5d2cbacked Kings13c2,400$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9470…7790backed Kings12c2,291$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711612.5%2 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-79.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Kings10c2,198$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.847943%34 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17ec…0e6abacked Kings10c2,050$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.02425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings9c2,026$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Kings10c2,000$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Kings10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048146.2%222 W · 259 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Kings10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20043247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…ce0abacked Kings10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+58.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc08e…bc1bbacked Kings10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings18c1,936$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.322,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Kings12c1,907$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.5626336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kings2c1,858$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.588820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings17c1,646$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.398,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Kings13c1,536$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7147949.7%238 W · 241 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Kings7c1,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac01…2d77backed Kings10c1,500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14510030%30 W · 70 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+41.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Kings13c1,489$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.715952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Kings10c1,360$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1365139.2%20 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+63.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Kings20c1,327$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2706544.6%29 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Kings10c1,300$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13040243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182c…165ebacked Kings11c1,273$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14011261.6%69 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c3a…a7cebacked Kings10c1,256$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.63742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Kings12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010226.5%27 W · 75 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe24c…8f5bbacked Kings2c1,190$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91520%3 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+57.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb68e…8607backed Kings10c1,100$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+91.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c3…eccfbacked Kings11c1,100$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12140%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Kings11c1,061$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.292,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f8…3c9fbacked Kings10c1,050$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1056826.5%18 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Kings15c1,010$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7134227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Kings10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10061740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Rockets75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25073649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Kings10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033735.3%119 W · 218 L+1.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Kings10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016136%58 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0835…7ac0backed Kings10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003917.9%7 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb92d…bbcabacked Kings10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+35.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Kings16c1,000$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15538434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Kings10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005850%29 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Kings10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040536.5%148 W · 257 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf571…3a5dbacked Kings13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13017345.7%79 W · 94 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Kings10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021723.5%51 W · 166 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Kings12c999.74$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9750239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Kings13c995$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.932,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd643…9811backed Kings13c969.23$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309248.9%45 W · 47 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24ac…f6b4backed Kings13c915.45$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12028234.4%97 W · 185 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee87…09adbacked Kings11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013052.3%68 W · 62 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb88…31d4backed Kings11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Kings11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022138%84 W · 137 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x110a…c654backed Kings11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015255.9%85 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe6…555dbacked Kings11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe34…e166backed Kings11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052137.2%194 W · 327 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Kings10c904.84$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7848944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a43…2fcebacked Kings9c900$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe88e…a7d4backed Kings11c866.92$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.362321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Kings12c829.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Kings2c800$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Rockets80c750.08$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0814551%74 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57f3…7304backed Kings12c750$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Kings13c749.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5a…f35cbacked Kings11c727.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012058.3%70 W · 50 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Kings12c719.96$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4418349.2%90 W · 93 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Kings10c700$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Kings17c675$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5685344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Kings15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007731.2%24 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.