NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74b53e7edd0340b87ce205917ce74f0b45586c1a5e03c04c57d765b06b94886c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Kings | 49c | 20,280$9,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,937.02 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Rockets | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Kings | 51c | 1,973$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Rockets | 50c | 1,678$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.06 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Kings | 49c | 990.2$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.2 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Rockets | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 47c | 745.71$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.17 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 55c | 537.99$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Rockets | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Kings | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed Kings | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Rockets | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Kings | 50c | 368.44$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.22 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Rockets | 52c | 361.54$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.54 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Rockets | 49c | 355.88$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 49c | 322.13$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Rockets | 52c | 310.44$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.01 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kings | 48c | 307.33$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.52 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fb…d909backed Rockets | 52c | 236.54$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Rockets | 52c | 197.94$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Kings | 51c | 196.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40b…175fbacked Rockets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Rockets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Rockets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 120 | 63.3%76 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kings | 35c | 159$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Rockets | 51c | 157.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Kings | 48c | 149.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Kings | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Rockets | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kings | 48c | 127$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Kings | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Kings | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Kings | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Kings | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da9…582ebacked Kings | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Rockets | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Kings | 50c | 99.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Rockets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Kings | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Rockets | 52c | 92.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Kings | 48c | 79.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Kings | 51c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…86a5backed Kings | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…3ea6backed Kings | 50c | 50.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Kings | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Kings | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Kings | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Kings | 51c | 39.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffe…1bc9backed Rockets | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Rockets | 50c | 31.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Kings | 56c | 23.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…ef48backed Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7848…5f80backed Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-15.5)this page
- Kings vs. RocketsRockets won
- Kings vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Kings vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Kings vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Kings vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Kings vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Kings vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-16.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.