NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fafe66b46e15aab6bb03946dc095468eb62883c0bce66590edd3e036969ca89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Golden Knights, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $890,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $906,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $890,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Golden Knights | 56c | 97,717$54,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,721.51 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Islanders | 44c | 51,385$22,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,746.3 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Golden Knights | 57c | 50,000$28,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,500 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Islanders | 43c | 39,466$16,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,495.68 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 35,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,599.99 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders | 56c | 25,449$14,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,119.37 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Islanders | 44c | 20,602$9,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,537.2 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Golden Knights | 26c | 19,570$5,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,025.94 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Islanders | 44c | 19,544$8,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,848.94 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Islanders | 50c | 16,229$8,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,114.58 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Golden Knights | 57c | 15,500$8,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,807.08 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Islanders | 44c | 14,138$6,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,917.45 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Golden Knights | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Islanders | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Islanders | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Islanders | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…28e6backed Golden Knights | 55c | 10,000$5,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,530.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Islanders | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Golden Knights | 39c | 10,000$3,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,944.04 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Islanders | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Islanders | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.99 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Golden Knights | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.99 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Islanders | 44c | 9,090$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,090.33 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadab…aecdbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Islanders | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Islanders | 48c | 7,756$3,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,996.46 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Islanders | 44c | 6,310$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,529.15 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe07f…c3bcbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Golden Knights | 57c | 5,645$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217.29 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Golden Knights | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Golden Knights | 33c | 5,011$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.79 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Islanders | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Golden Knights | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.97 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 4,968$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.56 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Islanders | 60c | 4,560$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.98 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Islanders | 43c | 4,223$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.16 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 4,089$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.84 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Islanders | 50c | 4,018$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.24 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…56d7backed Islanders | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…f7b4backed Golden Knights | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Islanders | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Islanders | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.99 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Golden Knights | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f9…d9fcbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 3,898$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Golden Knights | 73c | 3,894$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856.06 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd1…3b49backed Islanders | 44c | 3,889$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Islanders | 44c | 3,796$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.03 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Islanders | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights | 51c | 3,471$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.24 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Islanders | 43c | 3,370$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.77 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Golden Knights | 1c | 3,201$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Islanders | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda2…3fa5backed Islanders | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Islanders | 44c | 2,576$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.8 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Golden Knights | 42c | 2,524$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.18 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Islanders | 43c | 2,493$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.2 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Islanders | 42c | 2,355$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.74 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Golden Knights | 55c | 2,300$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.92 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Golden Knights | 56c | 2,231$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.36 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…0acabacked Islanders | 45c | 2,230$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdadb…ee44backed Golden Knights | 57c | 2,105$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6e…d52ebacked Islanders | 44c | 2,105$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Islanders | 44c | 2,080$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.55 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0e…ec76backed Islanders | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Islanders | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.97 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders | 44c | 1,986$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.04 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -8.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Golden Knights | 56c | 1,913$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.93 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Golden Knights | 47c | 1,841$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.91 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa02…d9ebbacked Islanders | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Islanders | 23c | 1,732$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.07 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Islanders | 44c | 1,614$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.64 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f02…d349backed Islanders | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Golden Knights | 56c | 1,555$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.8 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34e…5ea8backed Golden Knights | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Islanders | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…810dbacked Islanders | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…c3c9backed Golden Knights | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9af5…d852backed Islanders | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…63f1backed Islanders | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…0f08backed Golden Knights | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x221b…4528backed Golden Knights | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72b5…f2d7backed Golden Knights | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…fe85backed Islanders | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfef1…7568backed Golden Knights | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd5…e3e3backed Islanders | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…8c49backed Islanders | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222c…5113backed Islanders | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…1defbacked Islanders | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf73…2c07backed Islanders | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fc…c958backed Islanders | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…234fbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f81…73a3backed Islanders | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7639…a6d9backed Islanders | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…0810backed Golden Knights | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc415…b1f0backed Islanders | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb879…cdc2backed Golden Knights | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…7bd4backed Golden Knights | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Islandersthis page
- Golden Knights vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.