NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffc751e63eaaad82b0ddb006d9a77ae6214445af445001efddb5749b6792f7bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2aa6…6b31backed Under | 49c | 12,200$5,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,978 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…22cdbacked Over | 51c | 5,900$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4052…eb90backed Over | 51c | 5,880$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cf…0e3ebacked Over | 51c | 5,880$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0496…f985backed Over | 51c | 5,800$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a8…c0eebacked Under | 49c | 5,080$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…6e64backed Under | 49c | 5,080$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…72b0backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb530…4422backed Over | 51c | 3,900$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…3d0fbacked Under | 49c | 2,745$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…4976backed Over | 51c | 2,321$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 48c | 1,662$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.55 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 1,586$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.05 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Under | 50c | 1,416$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Over | 49c | 1,077$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.05 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 1,017$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.48 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 49c | 926.96$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.75 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 919.01$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.51 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 819.28$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.22 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 459.1$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.33 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 52c | 450$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…aa82backed Over | 51c | 424$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 51c | 392.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.57 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 48c | 375.55$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 50c | 294.56$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.28 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 52c | 190$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Over | 52c | 152.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 50c | 126$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…0dd5backed Under | 49c | 110.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 457 | 56.2%257 W · 200 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 50c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…c594backed Under | 53c | 45.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 51c | 40.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 349 | 41.3%144 W · 205 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5210backed Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2df…2f6bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. IslandersIslanders won
- Golden Knights vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.