TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Oilers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oilersof Jets, Oilers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$221,702
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,702 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6b4…a278backed Jets38c64,541$24,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,525.6310349.5%51 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Jets38c35,000$13,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,30042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Oilers62c33,045$20,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,557.0938748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Oilers62c30,000$18,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,40010451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe788…edb1backed Jets6c17,033$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Oilers62c15,000$9,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,70032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Oilers62c7,500$4,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.9556649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Jets38c6,157$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.6615954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Jets36c6,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16027548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ecb…a693backed Jets0c5,967$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.13714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-81%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Oilers62c4,787$2,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.0632251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32eb…0c1bbacked Oilers62c4,663$2,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.944654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Oilers63c4,376$2,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.8562249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Oilers63c4,207$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.5675251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Jets37c4,016$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.6422946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Oilers62c3,834$2,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.8712254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Jets36c3,610$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.5786649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Oilers62c3,049$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.592,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Oilers64c2,789$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.0369550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Oilers63c2,700$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9997659.2%45 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Oilers62c2,500$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95023751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers64c2,500$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4e7…6c34backed Oilers63c1,999$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.631855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Jets37c1,920$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.3926946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8269…e438backed Jets37c1,800$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jets37c1,700$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63468449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb8f…dda2backed Oilers63c1,592$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8118…fab4backed Oilers63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x646b…256dbacked Oilers63c1,300$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Jets38c1,195$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45420047.5%95 W · 105 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Oilers64c1,192$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.241,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Jets38c1,093$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.251,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers80c1,065$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.961,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Oilers65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35033447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Oilers63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3707157.7%41 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Jets35c999.92$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.975349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Jets1c999.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4813348.1%64 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Oilers63c996$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.5257453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers62c975$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.51,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Oilers63c869.16$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.251,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Jets38c828.95$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31514148.9%69 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jets9c703$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1761848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed Oilers62c693.45$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.514440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Jets36c625$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22525045.2%113 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jets8c614$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.242,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Oilers63c606.06$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.2493953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Oilers62c555$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.931148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Oilers61c523.66$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2347951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Oilers63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1857352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked Oilers65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1755154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1e…d204backed Oilers63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1851973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+40%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Jets38c499.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19048050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Oilers62c483.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9147051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Oilers63c459.46$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3248452.3%253 W · 231 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43e7…1f62backed Jets36c441.67$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15925050.4%126 W · 124 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Jets36c416.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15069142.8%296 W · 395 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Oilers62c395.26$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.230152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Jets38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15078443.8%343 W · 441 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Jets38c384.74$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5143944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Oilers62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5839649.5%196 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93b1…2c4ebacked Oilers63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.462867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+34.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Oilers65c307$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.451,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Jets35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Jets35c294.49$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0748748.3%235 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Jets36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Jets37c269.53$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9962447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Jets38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Jets37c260.75$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4827544%121 W · 154 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers59c252.93$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.71,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f06…6943backed Jets36c210$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f6…ac9bbacked Oilers64c208$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Jets36c200.48$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1722546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Oilers68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x064a…9c2fbacked Oilers63c199.02$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.644161%25 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60c…d26bbacked Oilers64c198$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ac…8d4dbacked Jets36c196$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed Jets37c194.25$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2510143.6%44 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x863a…1161backed Jets39c193.67$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.531030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Oilers62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2930447.4%144 W · 160 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Oilers65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8510255.9%57 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb48…696cbacked Jets40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcea…ba80backed Oilers62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Jets37c149.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4948046.9%225 W · 255 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Jets12c147$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6560141.9%252 W · 349 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Oilers63c142.86$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.861,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe131…174abacked Jets36c141.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe86c…02c2backed Jets36c141.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb91f…06f2backed Jets36c141.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdab5…bd0cbacked Jets36c141.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5115844.3%70 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d54…8d9abacked Jets36c141.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514045%18 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8979…f003backed Jets41c125$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.251241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70de…b98ebacked Jets19c120.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Oilers62c120$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.613850.7%70 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Jets41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.262944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Oilers63c110$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.731257.4%179 W · 133 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e73…b728backed Jets38c107.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x302f…ea04backed Jets36c102.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Jets36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01af…f34ebacked Jets36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1158…9973backed Jets36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-45.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.