NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f0bdae44909dba570ea40758a08344bcf331c5fcf264aa288791e5e71c616c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 49c | 107,870$53,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,513.65 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 68,053$33,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,719.49 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Under | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 50c | 29,970$14,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,985 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Over | 53c | 14,151$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,651.06 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 51c | 13,930$7,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,104.3 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 11,985$6,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,029.66 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 10,841$5,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,451.67 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 51c | 10,543$5,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,355.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 8,990$4,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,495 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 51c | 5,754$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.54 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 49c | 1,961$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.31 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 1,125$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.53 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 941.79$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.8 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 49c | 823.43$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.48 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.42per pick | 53cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 51c | 617.65$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.65 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 48c | 444$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…fe30backed Under | 51c | 378.43$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…292abacked Under | 51c | 374.33$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 47c | 326$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 315$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Over | 50c | 211.32$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.66 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 50c | 204$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 153$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…c457backed Over | 50c | 109.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 50c | 105.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…1415backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 48c | 82.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…4f40backed Over | 50c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…6ea7backed Under | 51c | 56.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2aecbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3e…eb6cbacked Over | 52c | 41.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5e…82e7backed Over | 50c | 39.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Over | 50c | 39.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…7089backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…273fbacked Under | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…b07dbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 60c | 33.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…7db3backed Over | 51c | 30.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0393…6ac2backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5this page
- Jets vs. OilersOilers won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.