NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b6e108ea8952f00bd13ef4cc1794a7500ba6749d8344a5a2d1c231b76be6944
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Red Wings, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,021,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,021,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,021,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,575 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Flames | 49c | 235,851$115,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,566.86 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Red Wings | 51c | 95,561$48,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,824.94 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Red Wings | 51c | 74,681$38,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,593.68 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Red Wings | 51c | 33,820$17,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,571.9 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Red Wings | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,700 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Flames | 3c | 21,859$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.34 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 51c | 21,762$11,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,663.44 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Red Wings | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Flames | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Flames | 49c | 17,448$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,549.68 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 14c | 17,350$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.97 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Red Wings | 51c | 16,520$8,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,094.8 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 17c | 15,292$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.38 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Flames | 49c | 14,375$7,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,043.75 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Flames | 35c | 13,000$4,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,522.27 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb355…60e8backed Flames | 49c | 13,000$6,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,370 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9c…17f3backed Red Wings | 51c | 13,000$6,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,369.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Flames | 48c | 11,372$5,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,472.52 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…e942backed Flames | 49c | 10,300$5,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,047 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Flames | 49c | 10,078$4,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,898.71 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Red Wings | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Red Wings | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…13ddbacked Red Wings | 52c | 9,900$5,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,752 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Flames | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Flames | 48c | 8,486$4,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,107.92 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Flames | 50c | 8,040$3,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,979.8 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flames | 1c | 5,765$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Red Wings | 55c | 5,524$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.12 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…986ebacked Red Wings | 52c | 5,400$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Flames | 18c | 5,349$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.26 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Wings | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…c4efbacked Flames | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Red Wings | 51c | 4,906$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.94 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Red Wings | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.96 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Flames | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Flames | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Flames | 13c | 3,957$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.47 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Red Wings | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Flames | 4c | 3,515$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.89 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Flames | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.17 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Flames | 49c | 3,178$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.4 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Flames | 5c | 3,091$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.71 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Flames | 49c | 3,085$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.47 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Flames | 50c | 3,081$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.82 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Flames | 50c | 2,999$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.53 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf500…73acbacked Flames | 3c | 2,995$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ac…0a7abacked Red Wings | 50c | 2,988$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Red Wings | 51c | 2,702$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.85 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Flames | 19c | 2,650$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.49 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Flames | 8c | 2,600$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 181 | 32%58 W · 123 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Flames | 21c | 2,550$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.34 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Flames | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flames | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.99 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…736ebacked Flames | 49c | 2,386$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…15babacked Red Wings | 51c | 2,381$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.85 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Flames | 5c | 2,320$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Flames | 11c | 2,245$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Red Wings | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.03 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd9…9363backed Red Wings | 53c | 2,183$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a0…2fdcbacked Flames | 1c | 2,175$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Flames | 49c | 2,163$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Flames | 48c | 2,046$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.09 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…6254backed Red Wings | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Flames | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b0…18adbacked Red Wings | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbc…93ebbacked Flames | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Flames | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Red Wings | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…849ebacked Flames | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Red Wings | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Flames | 48c | 1,814$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.69 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flames | 48c | 1,782$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.46 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Red Wings | 52c | 1,750$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.72 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flames | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.15 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Flames | 1c | 1,627$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b02…e4e8backed Flames | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Flames | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Flames | 22c | 1,471$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.78 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…074cbacked Flames | 50c | 1,450$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…01ccbacked Red Wings | 51c | 1,360$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 49c | 1,340$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.08 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…ca21backed Flames | 50c | 1,280$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Flames | 8c | 1,277$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8d…b20bbacked Red Wings | 51c | 1,250$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Flames | 48c | 1,236$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.39 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Flames | 49c | 1,221$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.34 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6e…d52ebacked Flames | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdadb…ee44backed Red Wings | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Flames | 14c | 1,200$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef95…aae6backed Flames | 48c | 1,110$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255c…d29cbacked Flames | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Flames | 48c | 1,069$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.25 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Flames | 6c | 1,062$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Flames | 50c | 1,058$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…af64backed Red Wings | 51c | 1,050$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…d61fbacked Red Wings | 51c | 1,042$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flames | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32a…1d9ebacked Flames | 50c | 1,006$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd884…8564backed Flames | 50c | 1,004$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Flamesthis page
- Red Wings vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Over won
- Red Wings vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Flames (-1.5)Red Wings won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.