TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Flames: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,062
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,167

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,062 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Under56c50,977$28,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,731.941,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over44c37,316$16,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,987.2988151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over44c10,901$4,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,112.342,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Over44c8,429$3,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,719.9744848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under56c7,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,92089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under56c6,500$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,639.9930447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Over45c5,472$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,019.2222546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb603…754bbacked Under55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7503740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c4,917$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,771.812,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Under56c4,000$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over43c3,163$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.8279350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over47c3,003$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.471,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over43c2,510$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.261848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40022150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Under53c1,850$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.583652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over43c1,406$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.391,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over44c1,110$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.631,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over43c1,104$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.281,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Over43c1,004$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.9630152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Under53c990$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.324347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…7930backed Under56c900$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Over44c680$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.83850%19 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c677.58$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.0662951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Over45c669.99$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.58956.2%50 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Under56c554.98$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.797240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under54c549.98$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.9931848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a2…b10bbacked Under56c529.63$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.591353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0585…5fa1backed Under57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Under55c525.45$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28917356.6%98 W · 75 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under55c502.06$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.1316241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Under56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28032451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd24e…f8e1backed Under57c471.62$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.771250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under55c443.98$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.1949546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Under56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023754%128 W · 109 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over44c318.18$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.181,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over44c318$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.0872847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Over43c280$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.64245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x273c…7a42backed Under56c267.05$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4618159.7%108 W · 73 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under59c252$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.681,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over44c249.85$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.461,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Under56c242.86$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1365240.4%21 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3930447.4%144 W · 160 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Under56c214.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12016753.3%89 W · 78 L+13.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Under55c181$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3613644.9%61 W · 75 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009552.6%50 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Under52c155.54$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.882236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-43.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8176450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over56c142.88$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.871,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd995…9bcbbacked Over44c136.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.364334.9%15 W · 28 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x205f…0189backed Under56c123.21$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6915347.7%73 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Over44c111.53$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3910262.7%64 W · 38 L+13.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1130951.1%158 W · 151 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x881f…dfe9backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+95.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Over43c108.77$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0fd…5903backed Under57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608949.4%44 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5759950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f2…1415backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567052.9%37 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over45c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9941847.8%200 W · 218 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under47c88.94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.631,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23c0…e3d9backed Under56c88.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.72846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over56c85.77$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0849045.3%222 W · 268 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Over44c80.77$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2324442.6%104 W · 140 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b56…31f0backed Over44c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Over44c75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4213049.2%64 W · 66 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52bd…1a8abacked Under56c71.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.319055.6%50 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…7db3backed Under56c67.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.694643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x554a…09c8backed Over45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.672839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…6937backed Over45c64.33$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.381560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa63d…f4e8backed Under56c62.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over45c57.78$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7878443.8%343 W · 441 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd3…8254backed Over44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.825848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-68.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under58c49.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7249053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd467…07d0backed Under56c48.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9242…60babacked Under56c45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.22744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4416150.9%82 W · 79 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.441163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+50%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Under57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525358.5%148 W · 105 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Under56c43.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2421454.2%116 W · 98 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f73…d330backed Over45c42.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd59a…ac62backed Over66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.885244.2%23 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013246.2%61 W · 71 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed8d…a20dbacked Over44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.092850%14 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5dc…48bbbacked Over62c33.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.871827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-46.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa1bd…4f40backed Under58c33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0516552.7%87 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f6…a31cbacked Under55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.510955%60 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9c…56fabacked Under55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.53333.3%11 W · 22 L-6.8wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7e79…089bbacked Over67c28.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.17850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over44c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4438551.4%198 W · 187 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over45c23.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.963161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+35.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb000…558dbacked Under57c21.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71a8…22f0backed Under54c20.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.07742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Under56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.27640.8%31 W · 45 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.