NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Predators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc981682e51392e646b5c322f52e561898203afdd5feecd83573d4213e24a7a70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Flames, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $246,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 670 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Flames | 49c | 11,222$5,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,498.8 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Predators | 51c | 10,300$5,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,047 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Flames | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Predators | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.16 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90b…ca9ebacked Flames | 48c | 5,106$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d5…66b7backed Predators | 52c | 5,093$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 47c | 4,595$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.56 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flames | 48c | 4,185$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.47 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Flames | 48c | 4,150$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Flames | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.99 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Predators | 52c | 3,817$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.29 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7d…fc4dbacked Flames | 48c | 3,764$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x717d…21cabacked Predators | 52c | 3,764$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…535abacked Flames | 48c | 3,570$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…9f1fbacked Predators | 52c | 3,570$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce4…1357backed Flames | 48c | 3,367$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23a2…07cabacked Predators | 52c | 3,367$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x692d…13a2backed Flames | 48c | 3,217$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768c…3e43backed Predators | 52c | 3,217$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Flames | 49c | 3,041$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Predators | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.98 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f7…2aa6backed Flames | 48c | 2,892$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…9e96backed Predators | 52c | 2,892$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be7…1fc5backed Flames | 48c | 2,829$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…c901backed Predators | 52c | 2,829$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.92 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…453fbacked Flames | 48c | 2,778$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2f…95d3backed Predators | 52c | 2,778$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.44 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…4e34backed Predators | 52c | 2,681$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…0fbebacked Flames | 48c | 2,681$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd068…ac47backed Predators | 52c | 2,572$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…494ebacked Flames | 48c | 2,572$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb839…0365backed Flames | 48c | 2,477$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…7e88backed Predators | 52c | 2,477$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…c7c4backed Flames | 48c | 2,385$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4c…eea8backed Predators | 52c | 2,385$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf62…377ebacked Flames | 48c | 2,357$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27c0…d78bbacked Predators | 52c | 2,357$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flames | 48c | 2,316$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Predators | 52c | 2,240$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.2 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…9724backed Flames | 48c | 2,185$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3917…22bcbacked Predators | 52c | 2,185$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x924c…5166backed Predators | 52c | 2,032$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0530…e3f7backed Flames | 48c | 2,032$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1962…4b2ebacked Flames | 48c | 2,024$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe215…9901backed Predators | 52c | 2,024$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3950…a421backed Predators | 52c | 2,020$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4955…4f73backed Flames | 48c | 2,014$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…e77dbacked Predators | 52c | 2,014$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…e477backed Predators | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…b693backed Flames | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03fe…a97bbacked Flames | 48c | 1,995$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c3…df3fbacked Flames | 48c | 1,982$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.36 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2f…3a37backed Predators | 52c | 1,982$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…ce7cbacked Flames | 48c | 1,940$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…55ffbacked Predators | 52c | 1,940$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d7…2ae2backed Predators | 52c | 1,929$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.92 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64f9…dbfcbacked Flames | 48c | 1,929$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Predators | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…f96cbacked Predators | 53c | 1,900$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e1…9d07backed Flames | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…7870backed Predators | 52c | 1,834$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff49…1599backed Flames | 48c | 1,834$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…4d37backed Predators | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…5ac2backed Flames | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…cceebacked Predators | 52c | 1,767$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2384…8561backed Flames | 48c | 1,767$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd712…e7aebacked Flames | 48c | 1,758$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa435…6413backed Predators | 52c | 1,758$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.84 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 48cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…8caebacked Flames | 48c | 1,745$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53a…5668backed Predators | 52c | 1,745$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b8…db6fbacked Flames | 48c | 1,722$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x894d…ec7bbacked Predators | 52c | 1,722$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadd6…731abacked Predators | 52c | 1,718$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.64 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…512ebacked Flames | 48c | 1,718$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Predators | 53c | 1,664$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.08 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9be…995bbacked Flames | 48c | 1,640$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…c7edbacked Predators | 52c | 1,640$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8432…9ffcbacked Flames | 48c | 1,615$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…cf1dbacked Predators | 52c | 1,615$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8937…8558backed Flames | 48c | 1,521$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…0fd0backed Predators | 52c | 1,521$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x679e…d905backed Predators | 52c | 1,501$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7591…ff3bbacked Flames | 48c | 1,501$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0911…f342backed Flames | 48c | 1,495$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…c572backed Predators | 52c | 1,495$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9748…16f1backed Predators | 52c | 1,448$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.04 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…b289backed Flames | 48c | 1,448$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Predators | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.17 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6acc…0077backed Predators | 52c | 1,437$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…04e1backed Flames | 48c | 1,437$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5509…5eafbacked Flames | 48c | 1,385$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb96…20b7backed Predators | 52c | 1,385$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfef1…9573backed Flames | 48c | 1,378$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1662…e8fabacked Predators | 52c | 1,378$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73c…0554backed Flames | 48c | 1,356$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe4…79aebacked Predators | 52c | 1,356$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.88 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Predators | 52c | 1,344$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.12 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…a5dcbacked Predators | 52c | 1,327$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.96 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f23…e6bfbacked Flames | 48c | 1,327$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…57febacked Predators | 52c | 1,303$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.44 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Predatorsthis page
- Flames vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.