NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Heat

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f372a0e0df162ffc715f4cd28656fab2354da80532b35e684137cc7542969f6

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pistonsof Pistons, Heat
Resolved: Nov 30, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,686,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,877,656

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,686,716 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,534 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons	39c	81,777$32,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,586.93	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Pistons	73c	61,417$45,117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,300.37	78	69.2%54 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	70cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Heat	60c	42,291$25,574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,574.3	375	57.6%216 W · 159 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Heat	60c	40,000$24,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,000	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pistons	40c	36,125$14,407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,717.8	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Heat	62c	35,000$21,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,699.8	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Pistons	42c	33,412$14,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,378.73	134	55.2%74 W · 60 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0140…9028backed Pistons	40c	33,000$13,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,900	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Pistons	40c	30,003$11,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,023.27	202	53.5%108 W · 94 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pistons	66c	29,378$19,302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,076	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Heat	60c	27,500$16,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,499.75	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Heat	58c	21,787$12,726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,725.76	698	52%363 W · 335 L	+10.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Heat	14c	20,598$2,952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,952.36	815	29.4%240 W · 575 L	-37.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd52…0001backed Pistons	37c	20,478$7,577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,901.36	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8166…6770backed Pistons	40c	20,008$8,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,004.54	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Heat	60c	20,000$12,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,000	382	48.7%186 W · 196 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4297…ea39backed Heat	63c	20,000$12,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,600	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Heat	60c	17,386$10,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,431.34	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Heat	61c	14,700$8,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,966.98	231	35.1%81 W · 150 L	-11.1wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Heat	12c	14,357$1,746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,746.16	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf963…0637backed Heat	61c	14,200$8,662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,662	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pistons	38c	13,066$4,965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,100.78	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Heat	59c	12,710$7,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,552.61	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Heat	5c	12,062$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.11	142	43%61 W · 81 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Heat	61c	12,054$7,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,324.2	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Heat	58c	11,525$6,668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,667.93	278	48.9%136 W · 142 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Heat	60c	11,086$6,623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,623.06	117	41.9%49 W · 68 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Pistons	40c	11,000$4,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,600	148	53.4%79 W · 69 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Heat	61c	10,593$6,436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,436.23	623	51.4%320 W · 303 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Heat	62c	10,522$6,492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,491.69	340	62.1%211 W · 129 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b6f…2e89backed Heat	1c	10,500$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Heat	60c	10,000$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,999.99	352	35.8%126 W · 226 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Pistons	41c	10,000$4,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,879.99	133	45.9%61 W · 72 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Pistons	40c	9,988$3,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,992.5	109	30.3%33 W · 76 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf54e…0950backed Pistons	40c	9,700$3,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,820	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.7wins	-0.19per pick	55cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22c6…cf2abacked Heat	60c	9,315$5,589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,589.1	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Heat	30c	9,199$2,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,773.12	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Heat	1c	9,079$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.56	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Pistons	39c	9,000$3,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,489.98	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Pistons	39c	8,635$3,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,232.08	232	45.3%105 W · 127 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc4a…87d4backed Heat	62c	8,634$5,353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,353.16	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Heat	11c	8,434$928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$927.51	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ee…3d48backed Heat	59c	8,125$4,819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,818.53	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons	61c	7,972$4,855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,117.09	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Heat	62c	7,621$4,725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,725.17	154	43.5%67 W · 87 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc17f…efa4backed Pistons	43c	7,000$3,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,990	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Heat	3c	6,703$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.96	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0621…13d1backed Heat	61c	6,500$3,965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,964.99	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Heat	17c	6,488$1,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,114.16	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3300…568bbacked Pistons	72c	6,434$4,629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,805.33	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	59cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Heat	11c	6,328$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.55	277	31.4%87 W · 190 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13e8…8509backed Pistons	42c	6,183$2,607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,575.79	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Pistons	40c	6,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,600	123	34.1%42 W · 81 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pistons	39c	6,000$2,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,659.89	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd19…1a17backed Heat	58c	5,950$3,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,449.5	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdad…6904backed Pistons	40c	5,679$2,281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,398.28	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Heat	23c	5,636$1,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,311.23	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Pistons	39c	5,600$2,203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,397	618	35.4%219 W · 399 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x268a…4ed9backed Pistons	43c	5,318$2,287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,031.36	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+132.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Pistons	40c	5,253$2,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,172.31	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Heat	33c	5,243$1,732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,731.82	260	38.1%99 W · 161 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Heat	62c	5,242$3,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,250	98	38.8%38 W · 60 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Heat	1c	5,238$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.38	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa02…6b6bbacked Heat	36c	5,181$1,886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,886.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Heat	2c	5,067$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	679	11%75 W · 604 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab9…5b82backed Heat	36c	5,047$1,817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,817	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Pistons	38c	5,000$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,100	166	41%68 W · 98 L	-12.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Heat	14c	5,000$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.2	722	41.4%299 W · 423 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe71a…9aaabacked Pistons	42c	5,000$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,900	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.28per pick	56cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Heat	58c	5,000$2,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,899.95	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Heat	61c	4,763$2,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,900.1	191	36.1%69 W · 122 L	-15.3wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Pistons	40c	4,709$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,809.42	446	48%214 W · 232 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons	38c	4,651$1,786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,864.66	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Heat	1c	4,510$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.1	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Heat	61c	4,500$2,745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,745	416	52.2%217 W · 199 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Heat	60c	4,374$2,624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,624.32	315	38.1%120 W · 195 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Pistons	59c	4,372$2,594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,777.27	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+4.7wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Heat	47c	4,332$2,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,024.99	310	44.8%139 W · 171 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Heat	60c	4,250$2,545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,545	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b85…a1d8backed Pistons	39c	4,238$1,654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,584.61	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeca1…abc0backed Pistons	43c	4,120$1,771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,348.24	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Heat	0c	4,050$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f2…b9d3backed Heat	58c	4,050$2,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,348.61	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Heat	55c	4,031$2,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,197.7	164	46.3%76 W · 88 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff60…2bf3backed Heat	58c	4,000$2,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,320	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Heat	60c	4,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	181	42%76 W · 105 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2c…94c5backed Pistons	38c	4,000$1,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,480	91	41.8%38 W · 53 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fad…30cebacked Pistons	43c	3,999$1,724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,275.28	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.32per pick	48cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat	12c	3,871$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.28	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3492…d5aabacked Heat	3c	3,800$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.3	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd44…00e4backed Heat	59c	3,683$2,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,168.31	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Heat	58c	3,682$2,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,126.69	444	59.7%265 W · 179 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons	42c	3,669$1,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,139.68	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfc…7deebacked Heat	58c	3,500$2,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,030	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Heat	58c	3,448$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	77	45.5%35 W · 42 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Heat	57c	3,439$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960	386	49.5%191 W · 195 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Pistons	42c	3,411$1,448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,962.8	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Heat	18c	3,405$609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$609.06	1,048	41.1%431 W · 617 L	+23.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Heat	22c	3,321$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730.18	228	45.2%103 W · 125 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Pistons	39c	3,316$1,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,022.73	354	47.7%169 W · 185 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pistons vs. Heat

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event