TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$365,664
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$366,025

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,664 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef54…d1eebacked Rangers40c181,186$73,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,332.4117749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Golden Knights68c51,105$34,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,397.0838748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29f9…e310backed Golden Knights60c42,500$25,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,000560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Golden Knights59c40,000$23,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,40010451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x857c…cb02backed Golden Knights61c32,370$19,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,624.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Golden Knights60c20,981$12,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,392.4222550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Golden Knights48c20,000$9,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,300.2442552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Golden Knights59c19,470$11,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,998.51,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Golden Knights60c17,893$10,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,157.3756649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Rangers39c16,432$6,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,408.4838844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Golden Knights61c15,536$9,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,058.8916656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Rangers1c12,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Golden Knights61c11,787$7,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,555.8915953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Rangers39c11,721$4,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,571.1928353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Rangers51c11,580$5,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,868.9226344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Rangers39c10,012$3,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,904.6810554.3%57 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Rangers37c6,250$2,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,322.551045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rangers39c5,658$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.621,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Rangers41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05014940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Golden Knights59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.9932251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a5…f0a8backed Rangers39c3,721$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.191346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Golden Knights60c3,333$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.222546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Golden Knights59c2,999$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.5647951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rangers70c2,630$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.81,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf1…9eaebacked Golden Knights64c2,599$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.025261.5%32 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Golden Knights60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Golden Knights61c2,500$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.993060%18 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rangers24c2,337$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.8262951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rangers38c2,329$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.992,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Rangers49c2,044$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.518840.4%76 W · 112 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Golden Knights60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8003246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Rangers40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Rangers41c1,829$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Rangers39c1,821$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71026946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Rangers39c1,794$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.5130152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rangers27c1,767$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.9161848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Rangers1c1,654$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.547450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Golden Knights77c1,500$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34575251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Rangers40c1,400$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56424347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Rangers32c1,360$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.827143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Rangers41c1,302$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53414148.9%69 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Rangers39c1,272$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.0857453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Golden Knights62c1,258$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.0615954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Rangers39c1,240$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.610158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Golden Knights60c1,220$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.531,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Golden Knights59c1,183$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.191,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Golden Knights53c1,183$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.2230946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Golden Knights59c1,164$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.1869550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Rangers29c1,128$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.66434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rangers38c1,110$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Rangers41c1,084$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.2718547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3b…6ba5backed Golden Knights24c1,050$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+57.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Golden Knights60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40033447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Golden Knights60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Golden Knights62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38038046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Golden Knights60c999.99$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40545955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rangers56c929.16$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.9695049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Rangers41c885.37$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36320047.5%95 W · 105 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Rangers38c767.32$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.0754047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Rangers39c760.82$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.941,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Rangers40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30047051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Rangers41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30041248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rangers39c727$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.5325045.2%113 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rangers39c680.3$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.3293953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Golden Knights60c666.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.672941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf54b…c340backed Rangers40c652$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Rangers26c615$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.913435.8%48 W · 86 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rangers39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23421147.4%100 W · 111 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Rangers39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57ba…2481backed Rangers40c500.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.113554.1%73 W · 62 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Rangers39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19511849.2%58 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7581…ea2dbacked Golden Knights60c500$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19812244.3%54 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Golden Knights60c490.85$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.34580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+78.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rangers31c440$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.282043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3a0…24f9backed Rangers40c425$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Rangers39c416$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.247354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43e7…1f62backed Rangers39c410.26$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16025050.4%126 W · 124 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Golden Knights63c389.05$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8231851.9%165 W · 153 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Golden Knights60c373.33$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.333357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x316a…0614backed Golden Knights60c328$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.24100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa707…03c1backed Golden Knights60c326$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.46100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick54cpaid+107.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c47…8015backed Golden Knights60c324$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Golden Knights58c320.12$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.1236948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718e…c961backed Rangers40c303$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+66.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rangers39c300.01$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11743944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75d6…c56fbacked Rangers76c300$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2294339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Golden Knights60c285.82$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.41,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30de…849ebacked Rangers39c267.41$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.29955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Rangers40c264.34$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1951452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Rangers39c260$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.420446.6%95 W · 109 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Rangers39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights26c240.48$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.312,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Rangers45c240$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.823650%18 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3846…c908backed Golden Knights60c225$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers44c206.9$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.981,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb016…982dbacked Golden Knights60c203$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Golden Knights76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4884953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Rangers39c200$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.827544%121 W · 154 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.