TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75d6…c56f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST6352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$53.2
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$67.2
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$483.76
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$224
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+528.9%+$84.1
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$235
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+122.2%+$55
Heat vs. Netsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+212.5%+$340
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$137
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+78.6%+$220
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+185.7%+$520
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$234
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+203%+$67
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+122.2%+$109.99
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$237
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$286
Kings vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST4339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+51.5%+$7.93
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+44.9%+$93
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$151.59
Canucks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Kraken vs. Flamesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+61.3%+$38
Utah vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$151.99
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+47.5%+$257.8
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+132.6%+$171
Oilers vs. Penguinsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
Capitals vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+53.8%+$35
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$174.99
Utah vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+177.8%+$64
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$108.75
Islanders vs. Red Wingsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$78.97
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Kings vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Oilers vs. Canadiensbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$67.97
Bruins vs. Wildbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Utah vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$229.5
Canucks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27.99
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$43.4
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+127.3%+$56
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$76
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+79.6%+$133
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+147.9%+$179
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+47.1%+$128
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+106.4%+$58.2
Browns vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+31.6%+$48
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$141
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+72.4%+$126
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+60%+$75
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$35.5
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+29.9%+$69
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$91
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+43.9%+$122
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+25%+$20
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$50
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3)backed Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+33.7%+$103
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+38.9%+$28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Learner Tien vs Rafael Jodarbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,211Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$2,211
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.