NFL · resolved market
Colts vs. Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70e64fbc50b7ae33b9b409d5302a5a920f2a39eca2d1c582970c75b58556884d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jaguarsof Colts, Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,516,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,584,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,516,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Colts | 55c | 694,151$383,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383,316.37 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Jaguars | 46c | 289,026$134,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154,910.77 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Jaguars | 44c | 191,617$83,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,805.63 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Jaguars | 44c | 168,542$74,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,501.11 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Jaguars | 43c | 100,000$43,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,999.95 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Colts | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,999.91 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Colts | 56c | 99,000$55,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,440 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Colts | 55c | 97,500$54,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,999.81 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Jaguars | 46c | 87,000$40,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,980 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Jaguars | 45c | 55,555$24,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,666.36 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Colts | 3c | 54,409$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.07 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Jaguars | 74c | 54,398$39,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,399.21 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Jaguars | 43c | 40,000$17,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,800 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colts | 24c | 39,571$9,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,341.04 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…9b66backed Colts | 55c | 39,486$21,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,717.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Jaguars | 44c | 36,498$16,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,309.54 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Jaguars | 43c | 35,000$15,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,949.97 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colts | 10c | 27,664$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,724.9 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Colts | 55c | 26,124$14,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,368.2 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Jaguars | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,499.9 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Jaguars | 44c | 22,727$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,727.27 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jaguars | 46c | 22,555$10,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,201.35 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Colts | 57c | 22,265$12,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,691 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Jaguars | 64c | 19,421$12,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,067.67 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Colts | 18c | 17,453$3,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,213.73 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Colts | 3c | 16,974$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.29 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colts | 15c | 16,679$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,581.54 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Colts | 1c | 16,590$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.9 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…357dbacked Jaguars | 58c | 16,117$9,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,754.41 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Jaguars | 44c | 15,909$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,909.09 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Colts | 29c | 15,838$4,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,598.81 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Colts | 57c | 15,120$8,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,618.17 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fb…0a53backed Jaguars | 44c | 14,392$6,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,058.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…5f30backed Colts | 57c | 14,200$8,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,094 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Colts | 54c | 14,000$7,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,539.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…46f4backed Colts | 54c | 14,000$7,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,559.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…bd0dbacked Jaguars | 45c | 14,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,699.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Colts | 56c | 11,428$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.68 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Colts | 57c | 11,416$6,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,503.01 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…faebbacked Colts | 18c | 10,795$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.09 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Jaguars | 47c | 10,708$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,708.44 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Jaguars | 46c | 10,300$4,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,602.92 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Jaguars | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Colts | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Jaguars | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…74c8backed Jaguars | 45c | 9,818$4,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Colts | 53c | 9,760$5,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,172.97 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Colts | 2c | 9,253$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Jaguars | 47c | 9,225$4,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,889.26 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Jaguars | 58c | 9,072$5,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.31 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jaguars | 45c | 8,845$3,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,865 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Colts | 57c | 8,782$5,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,005.74 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Colts | 57c | 8,771$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.47 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21a4…7f84backed Colts | 54c | 8,215$4,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,436.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x401a…9e59backed Jaguars | 46c | 8,015$3,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,328.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb6…3156backed Colts | 53c | 7,800$4,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,134 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jaguars | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Jaguars | 45c | 6,500$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Jaguars | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.98 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Colts | 22c | 6,152$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.34 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74db…1f4bbacked Jaguars | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Colts | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Jaguars | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Colts | 9c | 5,634$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.04 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Colts | 54c | 5,202$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.4 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Jaguars | 45c | 5,010$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Colts | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Colts | 46c | 4,885$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.39 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Colts | 13c | 4,752$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Jaguars | 45c | 4,635$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.74 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Colts | 14c | 4,315$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.74 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Jaguars | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e9…cd05backed Colts | 54c | 4,102$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f6…6f0abacked Colts | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Colts | 55c | 3,836$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.79 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c1…2894backed Colts | 1c | 3,791$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…43c9backed Jaguars | 46c | 3,787$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6530…b179backed Colts | 54c | 3,720$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c05…cf6cbacked Jaguars | 45c | 3,714$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f27…ddcfbacked Colts | 54c | 3,705$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x290b…4ba6backed Jaguars | 46c | 3,613$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…76cfbacked Jaguars | 46c | 3,590$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…1dccbacked Colts | 55c | 3,590$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jaguars | 47c | 3,580$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.74 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Colts | 1c | 3,554$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Colts | 54c | 3,440$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.6 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Colts | 0c | 3,300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf2…3ca4backed Jaguars | 46c | 3,139$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Jaguars | 46c | 3,112$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.61 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jaguars | 64c | 3,067$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.55 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4840…feffbacked Colts | 54c | 3,030$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…58a6backed Jaguars | 50c | 2,949$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf198…2159backed Colts | 54c | 2,892$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Colts | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe96a…1639backed Jaguars | 46c | 2,774$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Colts | 56c | 2,715$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.29 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbf…6867backed Colts | 54c | 2,587$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…88f2backed Jaguars | 46c | 2,556$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5c…d316backed Jaguars | 46c | 2,523$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Colts | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colts vs. Jaguarsthis page
- Colts vs. Jaguars: 1H MoneylineJaguars won
- Colts vs. Jaguars: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 45.5Over won
- Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5Over won
- Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 47.5Over won
- Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 48.5Over won
- Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 49.5Over won
- Spread: Colts (-1.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Colts (-2.5)Jaguars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.