NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75316ede8e9fc44fdb70fa1155133a4b97b83028f18ef447d11250061e73dcfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Oilers, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $508,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $513,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $508,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 797 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers | 53c | 66,133$35,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,360.17 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Oilers | 56c | 61,053$34,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,189.86 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canadiens | 45c | 26,226$11,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,516.15 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Canadiens | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Canadiens | 43c | 12,500$5,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,124.95 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Canadiens | 45c | 11,924$5,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,535.94 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Canadiens | 45c | 11,484$5,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,338.76 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 44c | 11,000$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Canadiens | 44c | 9,853$4,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,504.58 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Canadiens | 79c | 8,556$6,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.06 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oilers | 25c | 6,565$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.17 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens | 73c | 6,091$4,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.26 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Canadiens | 44c | 6,000$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,389.94 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Canadiens | 44c | 5,655$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150.11 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Oilers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.97 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Canadiens | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.96 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Oilers | 55c | 4,995$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.25 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Oilers | 45c | 4,654$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.01 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…1ed3backed Canadiens | 44c | 4,596$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.76 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Canadiens | 45c | 4,161$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.55 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Oilers | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Canadiens | 44c | 3,635$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.36 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Oilers | 53c | 3,472$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.63 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Canadiens | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.04 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Canadiens | 47c | 3,332$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.38 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Oilers | 1c | 3,221$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Canadiens | 65c | 2,722$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.27 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Canadiens | 44c | 2,252$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.25 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad0…12e9backed Oilers | 56c | 2,143$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canadiens | 44c | 2,054$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.7 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Canadiens | 45c | 1,911$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.04 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,850$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,822$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.91 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Canadiens | 47c | 1,799$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.28 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Canadiens | 51c | 1,792$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.31 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Oilers | 34c | 1,760$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.72 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,705$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.55 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,636$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.94 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Oilers | 56c | 1,617$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a1…de7abacked Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532e…e69ebacked Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334c…3c80backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a057backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…39a8backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…a790backed Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…59a4backed Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…6125backed Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…d2a5backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…357fbacked Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…41f3backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…13babacked Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…6b7bbacked Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…8f94backed Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…66a4backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x029f…afacbacked Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…629cbacked Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…f346backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…e576backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa730…3806backed Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb382…c986backed Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…e734backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34e…eb5cbacked Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…22a7backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…3bb3backed Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc61…36d4backed Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0412…4c08backed Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…a4afbacked Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef01…34d1backed Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e52…98d0backed Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd5…bfcfbacked Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…408cbacked Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…1632backed Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d55…2ac3backed Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…a490backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…63d9backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab8…7b58backed Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf7…2762backed Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…8f05backed Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…9e5ebacked Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f9…4be3backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…caaebacked Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…e51bbacked Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…61cdbacked Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…a79dbacked Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd558…efe0backed Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736b…18b2backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…6a20backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…b8d3backed Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23af…3026backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9abe…8956backed Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4141…2741backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…eed7backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…9834backed Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b3…329fbacked Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…e1adbacked Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…40b3backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477b…64afbacked Canadiens | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…b4edbacked Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…f133backed Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…0fc0backed Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Canadiensthis page
- Oilers vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.