NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a15d3d3ca909fda057f8f34ec04675f26983743dcf9457d921770c74ff1cb99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 52c | 28,528$14,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,834.54 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Over | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.98 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 49c | 4,444$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.55 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 48c | 4,100$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 3,772$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.33 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 48c | 1,580$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.73 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 1,368$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.1 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 1,315$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.95 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 48c | 988.92$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.24 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…5233backed Under | 49c | 976.12$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.82 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 53c | 927.26$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.45 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 49c | 428.57$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.57 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Over | 52c | 423$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.96 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 49c | 405.09$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.6 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Under | 48c | 395.83$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.83 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd59a…ac62backed Over | 53c | 375.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 48c | 372.92$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.92 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 48c | 340.17$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 235$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 181$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 48c | 167.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 149.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Under | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 47c | 106$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 41%73 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 84.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…807ebacked Over | 53c | 73.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Over | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0efe…df51backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 46c | 33.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 54c | 33.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…061bbacked Under | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 20.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5this page
- Oilers vs. CanadiensCanadiens won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.