TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Trail Blazers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Warriors, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,947,695
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,115,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,947,695 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 852 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Warriors65c86,805$56,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,422.9872648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9e6…025bbacked Trail Blazers47c67,922$31,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,166.361346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Warriors47c66,963$31,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,767.281,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Trail Blazers35c55,555$19,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,110.7116942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Trail Blazers31c52,500$16,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,22538248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x564f…1795backed Warriors64c44,869$28,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,766.123839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors54c43,085$23,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,321.881,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Trail Blazers36c42,819$15,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,403.9714856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers39c42,425$16,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,782.415,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Trail Blazers35c40,000$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,999.9731445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Warriors65c40,000$26,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,999.9718045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers36c39,295$14,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,149.164,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Warriors65c32,614$21,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,195.042,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors56c30,991$17,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,481.761,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors65c30,757$20,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,037.462,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Warriors67c30,025$20,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,08034062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Trail Blazers36c30,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,20051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers37c23,559$8,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,956.853,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54fd…ae61backed Warriors64c21,284$13,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,583.391650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors54c20,762$11,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,308.784,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Trail Blazers50c20,112$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,111.7421944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Warriors16c17,693$2,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,797.021,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Warriors63c17,264$10,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,876.6217658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Warriors73c16,600$12,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,181.498451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Trail Blazers35c16,358$5,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,632.771,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Warriors51c16,253$8,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,364.562,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x161e…6ef0backed Trail Blazers65c15,562$10,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,521.95664.3%36 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Trail Blazers35c15,417$5,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,020.951,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Warriors61c13,755$8,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,406.7434852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed8…0130backed Trail Blazers48c11,702$5,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,141.861560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb433…7705backed Trail Blazers30c11,500$3,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,020.953036.7%11 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Trail Blazers40c10,543$4,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,3268343.4%36 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Warriors59c10,470$6,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,172.18,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Warriors66c10,314$6,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,850.816848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers35c10,058$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,537.774,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers37c9,959$3,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,248.913,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Trail Blazers32c9,379$2,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,421.461,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Trail Blazers36c9,006$3,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,741.861,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Trail Blazers34c8,888$3,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,866.0729748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1692…831fbacked Warriors63c8,801$5,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,569.326051.7%31 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Trail Blazers42c8,617$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,966.9218453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Warriors65c8,320$5,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,366.3232151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Warriors64c8,018$5,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,131.4227424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Trail Blazers35c7,493$2,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,870.434035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c53…3c12backed Warriors79c7,402$5,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,881.611921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-62.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Warriors30c7,164$2,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.3318140.3%73 W · 108 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Trail Blazers74c6,988$5,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,843.1837539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Trail Blazers35c6,974$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,533.118553%98 W · 87 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Warriors3c6,537$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9525016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors2c6,134$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.681,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Warriors64c6,048$3,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,865.8244459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Warriors64c5,930$3,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,766.049,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Trail Blazers35c5,753$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,742.81,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5d…7253backed Trail Blazers38c5,526$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,426.3211242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Trail Blazers38c5,327$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,327.17745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11b5…0d05backed Warriors54c4,906$2,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,644.632536%9 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors65c4,890$3,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,178.574748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Warriors67c4,716$3,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,168.453154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Trail Blazers33c4,597$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,096.9738649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Trail Blazers36c4,465$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,851.348046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Trail Blazers35c4,186$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,721.2235651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed Trail Blazers36c4,167$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.665145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Warriors63c3,961$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc685…cd28backed Warriors65c3,876$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b8…606fbacked Trail Blazers35c3,858$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Warriors65c3,690$2,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,398.534942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors12c3,677$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.223,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked Warriors5c3,597$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.549424.5%23 W · 71 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Warriors73c3,507$2,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,574.8590957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Warriors30c3,501$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.381,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Warriors64c3,245$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.662347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ff…62ccbacked Warriors60c3,196$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.456442.2%27 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Warriors1c3,070$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.78820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers37c3,051$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.351,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Trail Blazers36c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Warriors60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.9914853.4%79 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Warriors57c2,943$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.5524151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Warriors3c2,927$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Trail Blazers35c2,857$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.1413041.5%54 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Warriors64c2,817$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80315855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Trail Blazers35c2,753$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.7536351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Trail Blazers48c2,670$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.6213442.5%57 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Warriors48c2,628$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.5643958.8%258 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x708d…8a09backed Trail Blazers30c2,626$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.9521923.7%52 W · 167 L+0.5wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Warriors58c2,535$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.788744.8%39 W · 48 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Trail Blazers35c2,450$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.5650838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Warriors53c2,434$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.821,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1571…c4e6backed Trail Blazers40c2,401$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.6219419.1%37 W · 157 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Warriors65c2,337$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51919136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Warriors41c2,277$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.1789444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Trail Blazers44c2,264$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.9230157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Warriors1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2210235.3%36 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Warriors2c2,188$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7764517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Warriors65c2,154$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40043247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Warriors60c2,105$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.376054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Warriors62c2,103$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.910049%49 W · 51 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Trail Blazers43c2,016$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.6734227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Trail Blazers35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa469…e73fbacked Trail Blazers37c1,998$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.2912531.2%39 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Warriors63c1,920$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.3241652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.