NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed7a3d8bd2248ec280553fbcd9fe49bab3d6959c2d1702bcb0b11d5fcfcc5165
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Warriors, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 30,000$14,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,100 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 51c | 21,264$10,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,844.64 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 10,810$5,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,562.2 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Warriors | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.93 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Warriors | 52c | 7,244$3,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,743.03 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors | 51c | 6,654$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,411.94 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors | 49c | 6,385$3,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,128.75 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Warriors | 53c | 5,818$3,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,087.52 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Warriors | 50c | 4,455$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.5 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Warriors | 51c | 3,995$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.47 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Warriors | 52c | 2,889$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.48 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Warriors | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors | 53c | 1,889$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,768$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.31 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 50c | 1,603$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,592$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.84 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,516$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.48 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Warriors | 49c | 1,337$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.36 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Warriors | 2c | 1,200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 945.28$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Warriors | 53c | 834.02$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.03 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Warriors | 51c | 799.99$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 50c | 656.77$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.17 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 521.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.19 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 515$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.65 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Warriors | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 207 | 46.4%96 W · 111 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 345.1$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.1 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 47c | 308.54$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.11 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 259$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.27 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Warriors | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 202.53$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.81 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Warriors | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 198.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.92 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 198.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6a7cbacked Warriors | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Warriors | 51c | 170$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 167$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 166$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 162.65$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 155$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 53c | 128.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Warriors | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 114.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 114.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 112.85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…6882backed Warriors | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c6…830cbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Warriors | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Warriors | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Warriors | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Warriors | 52c | 96.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…79a8backed Warriors | 51c | 84.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Warriors | 53c | 76.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…3667backed Warriors | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Warriors | 48c | 74.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 69.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 59.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Warriors | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Warriors | 53c | 56.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 56.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9975…e7e6backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.44per pick | 54cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 52.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 51.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 49.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Warriors | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Warriors | 41c | 48.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f32…97c2backed Warriors | 51c | 48.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Warriors | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Warriors | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Warriors | 35c | 45.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…44b3backed Warriors | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 43.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Warriors | 53c | 43.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 42.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…c4f8backed Warriors | 51c | 42.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Warriors | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Warriors | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Warriors | 53c | 40.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Warriors | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Warriors | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Warriors | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Warriors | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Warriors | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Warriors | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)this page
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Warriors vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.