NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0c5e0837b851cbcabe24250a534218ce4fd8ca576750524afd66f70d6e626c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 50c | 6,768$3,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,378.6 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.99 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997e…9f11backed Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…8eeabacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…25a9backed Over | 56c | 3,551$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.63 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd0…f83dbacked Over | 50c | 2,460$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 2,162$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Over | 53c | 1,908$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.6 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 44c | 1,769$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.11 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 43c | 1,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 49c | 1,148$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.32 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 46c | 1,030$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.8 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 54c | 884.96$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.87 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 50c | 869.38$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.69 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Over | 50c | 742$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 35c | 461.54$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.54 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Over | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 49c | 202.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…9aa5backed Over | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 173$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 45c | 151$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 45c | 149$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 44c | 145$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 44c | 135$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 44c | 114$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Under | 45c | 113.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 45c | 92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 44c | 89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 44c | 88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Over | 56c | 88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Over | 56c | 69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 45c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Over | 56c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Over | 56c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Over | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Under | 46c | 51.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Over | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 45c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 56c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Over | 55c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Over | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 44c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Over | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Over | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Over | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Over | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Over | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Under | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Over | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Over | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Over | 56c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Over | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Over | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -6.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Over | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 47c | 21.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5this page
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Warriors vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.