NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3fb29d0871b2daf22b1ce59e19bb594681de4b1d1a934684ead9f71adea7fdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 1,692$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.69 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 54c | 855$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.3 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 737$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 35c | 585.76$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.34 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Over | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 52c | 202.6$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 50c | 198.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Under | 43c | 128$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Under | 42c | 109$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 43c | 107$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 41c | 103.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 87.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 42c | 82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 43c | 73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 42c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…7a7abacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 57c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 42c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fc…51c6backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Over | 58c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Over | 58c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 57c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Under | 42c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Over | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…012fbacked Over | 59c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 58c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Over | 58c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Over | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Over | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Over | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Over | 59c | 28.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Over | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Over | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 58c | 26.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Over | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked Over | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Over | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Over | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5this page
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Warriors vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.