TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,242
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,242 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under48c20,000$9,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,602.9919958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Under53c9,111$4,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,828.93966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c8,980$4,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,316.939,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over53c5,283$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,483.0248546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over52c3,713$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.3729652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa63c…27a4backed Over47c2,865$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.393737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Over47c2,459$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.0617250%86 W · 86 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over49c2,015$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.836248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0601,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under49c1,837$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90046258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Over47c1,733$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.4924048.3%116 W · 124 L-13.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over52c1,730$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.42,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under54c1,400$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…1ed3backed Under51c1,390$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.974647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Under52c1,247$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.211656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over53c1,084$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.952,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under47c837$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.392,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c821$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.148,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Over47c779.87$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.3335651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Under47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2355952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over52c485$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.422,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over52c464.81$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.112,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c460$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.81,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.621,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Over52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4622953.7%123 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Over47c277$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8116849.4%83 W · 85 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12065855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Under47c243$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.217361.6%45 W · 28 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked Under47c223$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.814652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc69…78b3backed Over54c203.7$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.74151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under18c195.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.493,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Over47c185$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0554747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over50c172.04$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.372,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over45c167.67$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.223,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over53c159.13$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7951146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Under47c156$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.325650%28 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under47c151$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.978852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20c2…895fbacked Over54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.151936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under47c144$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.687448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5351…a045backed Under47c143$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.212661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Under47c132$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.044949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under47c122$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.349050%45 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under51c112.24$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.242,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Over49c112.24$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2422347.1%105 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c90…272cbacked Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Under47c95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.654553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Under47c86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.428450%42 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.62766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under44c73.81$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3852643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06f4…758dbacked Under47c72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.843348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6611…17e7backed Over51c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.39048.9%44 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under49c69$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.811,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Under51c60.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4248740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6966…409bbacked Over53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.23246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x684b…47edbacked Over53c54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.382737%10 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xedc2…e450backed Over53c52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.442152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b1…cac1backed Over53c52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.442441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over53c51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.973959%23 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd395…3731backed Under20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109135.2%32 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Under28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1422243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…2f86backed Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.54062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ad2…d17fbacked Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e02…c5f2backed Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b5f…b793backed Over53c47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.092850%14 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3be0…e4e5backed Over53c46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.622751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e85…d253backed Over53c46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.623655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Over54c44.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.449050%45 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over52c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6433949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9d9…6febbacked Over53c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.742458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over53c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.274643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabb7…7959backed Over53c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.272268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37e8…441fbacked Over53c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.272157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Under27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.827747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1c1…090dbacked Over53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.82050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ec…4f9cbacked Over53c39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.331747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed Over53c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.864360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cdb…ae41backed Over53c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.862142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf57a…a337backed Over53c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.861546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2614…1000backed Over53c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.862157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7420847.1%98 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Over54c35.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1912149.6%60 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07eb…4b4cbacked Over53c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.983748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked Over53c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.043171%22 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Under45c31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.955141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.695548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under47c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.634461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x891e…ea69backed Over53c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.632857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1b…854dbacked Over53c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.161968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ee…f2d4backed Over53c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.222147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over52c24.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7710234.3%35 W · 67 L-12.7wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over50c24.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2263745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4889…9b17backed Over53c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.282751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2999…50bcbacked Over53c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.813647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e26…c672backed Over53c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.811855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb5…6a69backed Over53c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.873040%12 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.