NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x073ceae5a46d3bed8d8a2d93baca0bfbdf2860a8ddc58dc3b94afbd7487f4714
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Kraken, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken | 69c | 55,947$38,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,589.87 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Flames | 29c | 31,054$9,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,048.36 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kraken | 40c | 29,223$11,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,629.91 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kraken | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Flames | 30c | 14,001$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800.7 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Flames | 60c | 12,961$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,184.86 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Flames | 60c | 12,500$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Flames | 61c | 8,750$5,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,412.5 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Flames | 60c | 7,621$4,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.2 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Flames | 61c | 7,377$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.05 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Flames | 30c | 5,094$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.06 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Kraken | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.98 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Flames | 60c | 4,995$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kraken | 42c | 4,677$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.33 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…a3acbacked Flames | 62c | 4,619$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.65 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kraken | 39c | 4,500$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Flames | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Flames | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Flames | 50c | 2,812$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.05 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Flames | 48c | 2,730$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.3 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Kraken | 40c | 2,614$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.48 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kraken | 42c | 2,602$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.61 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kraken | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flames | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Kraken | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Kraken | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kraken | 49c | 1,955$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.7 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flames | 56c | 1,931$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.05 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Flames | 59c | 1,671$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.19 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Flames | 32c | 1,566$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.63 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Kraken | 59c | 1,533$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.04 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Flames | 30c | 1,400$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Flames | 41c | 1,216$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.39 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 60c | 1,214$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.74 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Flames | 61c | 1,150$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.88 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Flames | 56c | 1,077$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.84 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4343backed Flames | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Kraken | 39c | 966.39$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.54 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Flames | 65c | 948$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.92 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Flames | 36c | 936.16$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.37 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3285…5827backed Kraken | 39c | 923.08$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1706…fc50backed Flames | 62c | 922.58$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.58 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Flames | 50c | 913.36$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.68 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Flames | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 51c | 777.36$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.25 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Flames | 61c | 754.1$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.1 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Flames | 60c | 742$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.8 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Kraken | 39c | 709$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.51 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken | 43c | 700$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kraken | 38c | 699.93$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.97 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Kraken | 40c | 650$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Flames | 60c | 639.99$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.46 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Flames | 60c | 625$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Kraken | 60c | 620.91$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.64 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flames | 52c | 618$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.19 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Flames | 57c | 595.2$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.17 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Flames | 61c | 500$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.67 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2de…9fb3backed Kraken | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Flames | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Flames | 30c | 463.2$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.24 | 273 | 57.5%157 W · 116 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…2c4ebacked Flames | 59c | 424.17$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.17 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kraken | 40c | 419.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Kraken | 39c | 387$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.93 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Flames | 61c | 368.85$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.85 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Flames | 61c | 360.66$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.66 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b8…26b2backed Flames | 62c | 350$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Kraken | 50c | 345.32$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1417…4dd2backed Kraken | 56c | 330.27$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.95 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Kraken | 72c | 304.16$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 47 | 78.7%37 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Kraken | 53c | 301$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.53 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked Flames | 60c | 300.07$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.53 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Flames | 61c | 300$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Kraken | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Flames | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Flames | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…19f8backed Flames | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d6…c56fbacked Kraken | 32c | 299.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Flames | 54c | 299.42$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.73 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Flames | 59c | 293.22$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.22 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Flames | 60c | 270.13$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0a…c378backed Flames | 53c | 265.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Kraken | 69c | 263.29$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.37 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Flames | 70c | 260$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.78 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1770…9483backed Flames | 60c | 259.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Kraken | 38c | 259.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Kraken | 39c | 256$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Flames | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Flames | 29c | 250$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f45…5e8fbacked Flames | 28c | 249.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.99 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Kraken | 44c | 227.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kraken | 39c | 227.08$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Kraken | 43c | 224.75$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…9f93backed Flames | 61c | 220.61$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Kraken | 39c | 208.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kraken | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Kraken | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb148…1684backed Kraken | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Flames | 61c | 199.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 535 | 46.4%248 W · 287 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Flames | 60c | 188.26$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Flamesthis page
- Kraken vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Flames (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.