TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flyers vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Flyers, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,013,958
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,062,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,013,958 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 536 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x869b…c625backed Hurricanes70c336,683$235,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,112.844665.2%30 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Flyers30c169,905$51,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,268.9188151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Flyers30c98,250$29,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,497.2538748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Flyers33c73,633$24,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,175.4417749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Hurricanes69c58,867$40,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,357.661,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Flyers30c50,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0007946.8%37 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hurricanes69c32,719$22,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,142.7619555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Flyers30c28,310$8,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,563.9954047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Hurricanes70c25,000$17,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,50042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Flyers31c20,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,20022550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Flyers50c18,970$9,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,573.543754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hurricanes51c17,411$8,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,467.5399638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Flyers30c16,500$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,95051452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Flyers31c12,819$3,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,974.0210145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Flyers1c12,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Hurricanes69c10,173$7,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,153.537850%39 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Flyers38c7,745$2,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,944.9630944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8366…21ebbacked Flyers33c7,667$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Flyers6c7,116$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.3358467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Flyers30c7,035$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.811,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hurricanes76c6,993$5,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.971,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hurricanes52c6,574$3,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,150.082,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Flyers31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55027548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6576…6cc5backed Flyers32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff9f…7c29backed Hurricanes68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+50.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Flyers30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Hurricanes70c4,995$3,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.570547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Hurricanes63c4,940$3,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.251,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Flyers27c4,532$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.6795049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Flyers36c4,061$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.241,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Flyers31c4,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Flyers31c3,333$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.2322546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Hurricanes70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9003060%18 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hurricanes70c2,857$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.1485250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Flyers30c2,683$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.9832946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Flyers30c2,657$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.978645.3%39 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Flyers30c2,400$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7207546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Flyers27c2,346$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.493,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Hurricanes61c2,333$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.1575251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc1e…562abacked Flyers33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e1b…1a7cbacked Hurricanes67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Flyers30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ed2…8f05backed Flyers33c1,980$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ea…d94abacked Hurricanes67c1,980$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+54.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x369a…d5adbacked Hurricanes67c1,980$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.44100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+96.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x882c…47c9backed Flyers33c1,980$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60a0…eec5backed Hurricanes67c1,980$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd044…6d5cbacked Flyers33c1,980$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8df0…87c7backed Hurricanes67c1,970$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.1771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4081…c265backed Flyers33c1,970$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.150%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d59…1060backed Flyers33c1,970$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbec…4f06backed Hurricanes67c1,970$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.1887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick56cpaid+57%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff9c…009abacked Flyers33c1,970$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc35a…ed23backed Flyers33c1,970$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0859…caecbacked Hurricanes67c1,970$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e21…5b9bbacked Hurricanes67c1,970$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9a3…0aaabacked Flyers33c1,950$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc27…fceebacked Hurricanes67c1,950$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4037…1b20backed Hurricanes67c1,940$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.25100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+95.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd5…7a1dbacked Flyers33c1,940$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a37…ebb3backed Hurricanes67c1,930$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d4b…1be8backed Flyers33c1,930$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd83b…1cccbacked Hurricanes67c1,930$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.9580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ce…f133backed Flyers33c1,930$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf774…52afbacked Hurricanes67c1,930$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+48.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c89…2fdfbacked Hurricanes67c1,930$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6519…315cbacked Flyers33c1,930$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f8…2f00backed Flyers33c1,930$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8760…a057backed Hurricanes67c1,920$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a00…eed7backed Hurricanes67c1,920$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb59a…0d99backed Flyers33c1,920$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb395…46dcbacked Flyers33c1,920$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a5…3ebfbacked Flyers33c1,920$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e99…2d10backed Hurricanes67c1,920$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e29…838abacked Flyers33c1,920$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16be…7811backed Hurricanes67c1,920$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd538…eb45backed Hurricanes67c1,910$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe94…1c4abacked Flyers33c1,910$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.3650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x668f…7e81backed Hurricanes67c1,910$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb77c…be9fbacked Flyers33c1,910$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hurricanes80c1,900$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.462,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f5…6280backed Flyers33c1,900$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83cf…f805backed Hurricanes67c1,900$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+58%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fa…9a4abacked Hurricanes67c1,900$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa6…d166backed Flyers33c1,900$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…1ebfbacked Flyers33c1,890$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a4d…3b01backed Hurricanes67c1,890$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.7580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+51.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a47…32d0backed Hurricanes67c1,890$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.7955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0f…3a02backed Hurricanes67c1,890$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.77100%7 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3f18…c3d8backed Flyers33c1,890$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.7650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x227a…94debacked Flyers33c1,890$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.7944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2713…fcbdbacked Flyers33c1,880$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x384d…745dbacked Hurricanes67c1,880$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6638…2d54backed Flyers33c1,870$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddd1…13d5backed Flyers33c1,870$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.1425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa8e…0f54backed Hurricanes67c1,870$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.14100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+104%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa811…2fb5backed Hurricanes67c1,870$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b6…8335backed Flyers33c1,870$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x936a…f979backed Hurricanes67c1,870$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9f9…9f79backed Hurricanes67c1,870$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.