NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x577079282eb7c0fd1f9d0c74b2f75c2ed474bfe6d2fffa6827eb2bfd652aee32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe7ac…0a7abacked Over | 1c | 5,570$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Under | 49c | 4,386$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.82 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 51c | 1,960$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 49c | 1,927$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.09 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 1,765$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.33 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 1,207$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.7 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 75c | 901$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.25 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 47c | 299.97$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 48c | 205$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.85 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 51c | 198.18$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Over | 71c | 169.04$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.66 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 23c | 118.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 32c | 98.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 48c | 97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 52c | 86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Over | 52c | 81.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Over | 53c | 56.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 52c | 34.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 45c | 32.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 55c | 31.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0a…a3b9backed Under | 76c | 26.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Under | 47c | 25.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…bacfbacked Under | 50c | 25.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5this page
- Flyers vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.