TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Stars, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$740,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$755,688

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $740,986 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4259…936fbacked Sharks11c445,287$48,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,507.432330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Sharks7c49,569$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,239.626344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Sharks35c30,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,50028353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Stars66c25,000$16,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,499.9642552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Stars65c20,649$13,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,256.956649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Stars64c20,135$12,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,248.4447951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Stars65c15,358$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,357.5955446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Sharks36c12,120$4,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,321.979350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Sharks36c11,023$3,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,922.2710050%50 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Sharks34c10,509$3,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,597.1130152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Stars65c9,800$6,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4308453.6%45 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Stars64c8,237$5,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,959.7883652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Sharks36c7,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52014940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Sharks35c6,704$2,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,367.2210554.3%57 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Sharks35c5,714$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Stars65c5,402$3,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.331,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Sharks35c5,191$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.2151452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Sharks34c4,995$1,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,698.370547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Stars60c4,882$2,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.2230944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks32c4,857$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.81,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Sharks15c4,088$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.6629926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Sharks35c4,056$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.6928251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Stars63c3,839$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.611,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Stars65c3,743$2,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.0524654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf31…d3d1backed Stars64c3,600$2,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Sharks1c3,484$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.846650%33 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Sharks34c3,333$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.2275251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Stars65c3,207$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.5754047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Sharks17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5105425.9%14 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9397…ceb4backed Stars65c2,999$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.822352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Stars65c2,800$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9803351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Sharks36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x771b…932cbacked Sharks35c2,650$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-45.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Sharks11c2,500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2752114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Sharks14c2,361$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.8138738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2838…fdd3backed Sharks24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4804425%11 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Sharks36c1,972$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71026946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Sharks36c1,800$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64824845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Sharks34c1,776$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.9214253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Sharks39c1,700$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66314848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Stars61c1,561$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.571,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Sharks36c1,543$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.441,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sharks35c1,311$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.851,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Sharks39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50053050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Sharks1c1,196$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.817450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Sharks33c1,049$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.0320144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Sharks35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35039047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Sharks35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507338.4%28 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd7c…79a0backed Sharks7c1,000$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.81136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe780…d32dbacked Sharks35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Sharks21c931.18$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002250%11 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Stars80c892.5$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.57358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Sharks6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014539.3%57 W · 88 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf825…c866backed Sharks35c829$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.151758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eca…838fbacked Stars65c829$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Stars65c814.34$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.021,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1417…4dd2backed Sharks36c800$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2882437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sharks15c772.1$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.563,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Stars64c749.96$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.991,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae7…cf61backed Stars66c729.69$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.6913060%78 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sharks5c700$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4799638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Stars64c700$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25210255.9%57 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Sharks34c700$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23851044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Sharks34c699.94$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.981,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sharks35c692$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.275155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Stars65c673.23$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.6331753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x858b…b832backed Stars65c653.85$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.852360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Stars65c650$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.53762.2%23 W · 14 L+7.5wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+59.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x66f9…d179backed Sharks35c600$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Sharks21c547.31$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11516753.3%89 W · 78 L+13.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Sharks37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012844.5%57 W · 71 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Stars65c531.73$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.8613448.5%65 W · 69 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Sharks20c502.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick33cpaid+111.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf527…366bbacked Sharks20c483.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.58647.7%41 W · 45 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac8e…1f64backed Sharks5c482.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Stars63c475$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.7532650%163 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Stars65c469.51$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.9227544%121 W · 154 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Stars77c467.79$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9214840.5%60 W · 88 L-13.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Stars66c455$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.747051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Sharks35c454.5$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.571,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f97…13d2backed Sharks36c447.22$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1612441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1706…fc50backed Stars65c446.52$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.282157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Sharks36c433$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.5848050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Sharks36c430$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.362447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed Sharks13c417.24$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4412328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5571…4015backed Sharks12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Sharks36c416.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015246.7%71 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Stars65c410.99$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8539649.5%196 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Sharks34c409$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0647848.1%230 W · 248 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Stars65c399.99$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14135245.2%159 W · 193 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Stars64c390.42$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.036341.3%26 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd3…c066backed Sharks23c384.35$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.48458.3%49 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Sharks35c382.57$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.96246.8%29 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c8d…673abacked Stars65c382.22$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.734944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Sharks15c358.27$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4460141.9%252 W · 349 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Sharks34c352.94$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010250%51 W · 51 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69d9…9881backed Stars65c346.15$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.1530657.8%177 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Sharks14c346.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11b5…0d05backed Stars80c337.78$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.781258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.