NHL · resolved market
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83cff9080914b7d9b0b3727719b7ccb5d028724008f1ca5f33e014b22b738c1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2586…c893backed Stars | 44c | 1,750$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Sharks | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Sharks | 56c | 1,009$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.2 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Sharks | 55c | 949.8$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.39 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Stars | 44c | 703.85$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.16 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Stars | 44c | 681.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.74 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stars | 41c | 662.71$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.71 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Stars | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Stars | 51c | 444.13$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.62 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Stars | 43c | 399.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sharks | 54c | 396$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.84 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcde1…dfc0backed Stars | 51c | 378.2$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Sharks | 58c | 294.83$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stars | 43c | 290.01$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.92 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Sharks | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stars | 41c | 199.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.58 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Sharks | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sharks | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sharks | 57c | 148$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Stars | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Sharks | 55c | 105$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Sharks | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4274…1d2dbacked Stars | 42c | 78.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Sharks | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Sharks | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Sharks | 55c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Sharks | 55c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Sharks | 56c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Stars | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5895…0b37backed Stars | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Stars | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 799 | 56.1%448 W · 351 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sharks | 58c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Sharks | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Sharks | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Sharks | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Sharks | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Sharks | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Sharks | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Sharks | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Sharks | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Sharks | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Sharks | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Sharks | 58c | 25.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Stars | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Stars | 52c | 23.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Sharks | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…5285backed Sharks | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)this page
- Stars vs. SharksStars won
- Stars vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Stars vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.