NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda259544ed1412e19e29ff8f1e3184228be935e159519fa3d08193887c8f279e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 57c | 915.42$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.63 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 43c | 779.51$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.19 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 609$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.3 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 46c | 275$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.36 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 61c | 260.5$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Over | 59c | 255.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.19 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 47c | 248.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.7 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Over | 57c | 185.96$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Over | 57c | 184.82$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Under | 47c | 143.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 54c | 114.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Over | 56c | 114.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Under | 44c | 88.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4274…1d2dbacked Over | 56c | 58.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 43c | 29.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. SharksStars won
- Stars vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.