NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc57ebd7f7e4067baa537d432a56f18bfcd1c43a1580a7dbc3736f336a46dd46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Utah, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $928,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,047,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $928,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Penguins | 47c | 380,526$179,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179,000 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…e56abacked Utah | 55c | 169,388$92,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,864.66 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Utah | 49c | 110,435$54,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,789.52 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Utah | 53c | 70,128$37,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,960.04 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Penguins | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,500 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah | 52c | 40,333$20,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,345.54 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Penguins | 46c | 35,381$16,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,275.44 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Utah | 54c | 26,648$14,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,387.83 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Utah | 54c | 13,661$7,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,284.06 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah | 53c | 11,558$6,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,433.07 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Utah | 54c | 5,892$3,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.45 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 45c | 5,273$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.22 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Utah | 56c | 4,895$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.79 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Penguins | 0c | 4,088$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Penguins | 0c | 4,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Utah | 49c | 3,513$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.76 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c7…99febacked Utah | 56c | 3,400$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Utah | 35c | 3,365$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.87 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Penguins | 47c | 3,250$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.45 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Penguins | 3c | 3,100$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Utah | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa806…c0fdbacked Penguins | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah | 49c | 2,597$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.79 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…44c4backed Penguins | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…4c6bbacked Utah | 54c | 2,400$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Utah | 55c | 2,370$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.13 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Utah | 54c | 2,283$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.48 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Utah | 53c | 2,236$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.64 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penguins | 19c | 2,230$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.25 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Penguins | 76c | 2,197$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…27e7backed Penguins | 1c | 2,183$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Penguins | 51c | 2,122$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…5affbacked Penguins | 6c | 2,108$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed Penguins | 1c | 2,050$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Penguins | 8c | 2,044$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…ceb4backed Utah | 54c | 1,900$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e7…6c34backed Penguins | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Utah | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Utah | 43c | 1,720$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.01 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Penguins | 39c | 1,669$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.09 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Penguins | 46c | 1,654$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.58 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 47c | 1,569$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.05 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Utah | 54c | 1,362$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.66 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 50c | 1,201$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.25 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Utah | 53c | 1,065$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.14 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Penguins | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Penguins | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Utah | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Penguins | 76c | 968$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.68 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Utah | 57c | 964.91$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.91 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Utah | 54c | 914.93$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.66 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Penguins | 44c | 909.93$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.37 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Penguins | 46c | 895.13$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.01 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Utah | 39c | 851.68$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.97 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…c866backed Penguins | 46c | 837$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.02 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaf…1aaebacked Utah | 54c | 837$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Utah | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Penguins | 79c | 754.72$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.41 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Utah | 54c | 742$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.2 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Penguins | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Utah | 56c | 662$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.44 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Utah | 6c | 658.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.39 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Utah | 55c | 653.6$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.56 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Penguins | 16c | 642.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Penguins | 46c | 600.01$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.01 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Penguins | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Penguins | 46c | 591.9$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.4 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe15f…93d7backed Penguins | 47c | 569$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.74 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Penguins | 45c | 536.07$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.23 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Utah | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Penguins | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…1639backed Penguins | 45c | 491.29$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.08 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Penguins | 43c | 449.96$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.48 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaddb…51adbacked Penguins | 45c | 448$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Penguins | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Utah | 47c | 428.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.57 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b52…99cfbacked Penguins | 45c | 399.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Penguins | 48c | 376.16$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.03 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Penguins | 72c | 366$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.16 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Utah | 55c | 364$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Penguins | 46c | 360.32$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.17 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Utah | 56c | 352.04$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.04 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Penguins | 44c | 351.89$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.83 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d6…c56fbacked Penguins | 66c | 350$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Penguins | 46c | 347.83$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Utah | 50c | 336.93$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Utah | 33c | 314.61$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.97 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Penguins | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Utah | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Penguins | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Penguins | 69c | 289.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Penguins | 46c | 271.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Utah | 27c | 262.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.63 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Penguins | 44c | 262$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.28 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Utah | 55c | 260.12$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.57 | 413 | 54.5%225 W · 188 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Penguins | 44c | 252$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Utah | 5c | 240$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Penguins | 44c | 229.55$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Penguins | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Penguins | 45c | 222.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Penguinsthis page
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Penguins won
- Utah vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Utah vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.