NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf36bc8564fef3f4ebb55907bad5d4409d4e8af12ba46e48f0c113a5b41669a6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Kings, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $648,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $711,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $648,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 444 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff7a…4c4cbacked Stars | 55c | 124,874$68,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,248.9 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Stars | 51c | 112,500$57,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,499.91 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Stars | 56c | 59,367$33,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,260.53 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Kings | 45c | 45,877$20,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,644.56 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Kings | 61c | 40,515$24,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,911.93 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Stars | 53c | 40,215$21,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,025.51 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kings | 43c | 37,203$16,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,075.84 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Kings | 43c | 30,000$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,900 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Kings | 45c | 28,275$12,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,723.93 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kings | 47c | 25,927$12,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,278.26 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings | 45c | 23,218$10,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,444.53 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Kings | 45c | 20,166$9,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,052.53 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Kings | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Kings | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kings | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Stars | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.57 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 55c | 8,732$4,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,896.41 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Kings | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,679.99 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stars | 48c | 6,913$3,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,592.25 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Kings | 47c | 6,855$3,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,236.39 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stars | 55c | 6,391$3,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.37 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 44c | 6,076$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.97 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Stars | 50c | 5,538$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.92 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Kings | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Kings | 43c | 4,995$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.77 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 44c | 4,845$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.63 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb6…7bddbacked Stars | 54c | 4,815$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kings | 45c | 4,749$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.04 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Stars | 54c | 4,529$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.34 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Stars | 55c | 4,425$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.27 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Kings | 48c | 4,162$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Kings | 45c | 3,942$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.91 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Stars | 56c | 3,569$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.46 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Kings | 44c | 3,409$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.53 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…d01cbacked Kings | 44c | 3,350$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…f0dcbacked Stars | 56c | 3,342$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kings | 47c | 2,884$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.91 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Kings | 44c | 2,475$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Stars | 54c | 2,400$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.01 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Kings | 44c | 2,272$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.68 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Stars | 53c | 2,209$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.61 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Stars | 78c | 2,110$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.1 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Kings | 45c | 2,087$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.01 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Stars | 55c | 2,008$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.6 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Kings | 44c | 2,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Kings | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Kings | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Kings | 42c | 1,898$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.91 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Kings | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Stars | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kings | 45c | 1,780$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Kings | 47c | 1,511$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kings | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kings | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stars | 62c | 1,421$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.87 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Kings | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kings | 42c | 1,384$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.38 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Stars | 56c | 1,373$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.3 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Stars | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.64 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Stars | 54c | 1,293$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.93 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Stars | 53c | 1,283$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.7 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Stars | 56c | 1,281$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.77 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Stars | 53c | 1,255$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.39 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 41c | 1,238$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.43 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Kings | 47c | 1,237$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Kings | 45c | 1,216$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.2 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kings | 45c | 1,212$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.12 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Kings | 46c | 1,189$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 44c | 1,188$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.54 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Stars | 54c | 1,146$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.17 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Kings | 29c | 1,103$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.73 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Stars | 52c | 1,088$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.17 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 45c | 1,078$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.1 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Kings | 45c | 1,067$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.23 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Stars | 54c | 1,043$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.59 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 52c | 1,030$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.81 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Kings | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Kings | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Stars | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Kings | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Kings | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Stars | 55c | 999.99$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.5 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kings | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Kings | 47c | 948.94$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Stars | 55c | 946.3$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.45 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Stars | 58c | 905.17$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.17 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Stars | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Stars | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kings | 36c | 889.31$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.84 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked Stars | 55c | 845.64$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.84 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kings | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Kings | 50c | 785.49$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.26 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Kings | 48c | 742$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.98 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Kings | 45c | 720.01$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.8 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Kings | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Kings | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Stars | 54c | 699$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.54 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ac…4a3cbacked Kings | 46c | 697.57$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Starsthis page
- Kings vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Stars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.