NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97fa7479caa98143ab6a1b4cefccc5cfca33ea456ef1fabc53b5cf2a9f4976f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Kings, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,183,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,125,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,183,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 434 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Kings | 17c | 175,686$29,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,656.72 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…0637backed Kings | 19c | 118,134$22,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,157.95 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 76c | 113,008$86,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,832.94 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Kings | 41c | 53,617$21,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,799.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed Timberwolves | 80c | 36,989$29,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,397.8 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings | 15c | 31,017$4,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,618.63 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…1395backed Kings | 30c | 30,703$9,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,144.23 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +8.4wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Kings | 15c | 29,922$4,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,488.24 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…d85ebacked Kings | 1c | 28,102$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.02 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Kings | 14c | 24,023$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.95 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kings | 16c | 21,302$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495.78 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Kings | 20c | 20,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 69c | 12,726$8,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,902.83 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Kings | 20c | 12,672$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.44 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Kings | 39c | 12,456$4,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,912.81 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Timberwolves | 67c | 12,209$8,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,032.13 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 78c | 12,101$9,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.96 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Kings | 15c | 11,936$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.2 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Timberwolves | 70c | 9,237$6,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.04 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 63c | 8,858$5,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…7705backed Kings | 18c | 8,000$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Kings | 20c | 7,175$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.98 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 16c | 7,023$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.68 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Kings | 16c | 7,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Timberwolves | 80c | 6,754$5,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.87 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 6,534$5,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.38 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 80c | 6,467$5,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.68 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Kings | 39c | 6,201$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.72 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Kings | 18c | 6,054$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.75 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 21c | 5,650$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.56 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Timberwolves | 78c | 5,492$4,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.21 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Kings | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Timberwolves | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Kings | 22c | 5,000$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.9 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Kings | 17c | 4,943$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.87 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Kings | 15c | 4,725$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.72 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Timberwolves | 72c | 4,660$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.13 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed Timberwolves | 73c | 4,360$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kings | 21c | 4,162$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.32 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…1e8bbacked Kings | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Timberwolves | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kings | 25c | 3,753$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.61 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…c184backed Kings | 25c | 3,619$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.93 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Kings | 20c | 3,515$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.49 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Kings | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 11c | 2,867$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.79 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Kings | 1c | 2,800$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kings | 2c | 2,786$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Kings | 20c | 2,699$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.99 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kings | 26c | 2,677$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.02 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Timberwolves | 74c | 2,677$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.02 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Kings | 19c | 2,476$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.44 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Kings | 19c | 2,425$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.19 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Kings | 32c | 2,401$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 65c | 2,364$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.57 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Kings | 25c | 2,339$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Kings | 24c | 2,331$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.35 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec9…4325backed Kings | 18c | 2,238$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.74 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…f1bcbacked Kings | 19c | 2,190$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd4…308cbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 2,079$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.55 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Kings | 15c | 2,045$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kings | 22c | 2,023$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.22 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Kings | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9640…d0e8backed Timberwolves | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Kings | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.98 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…8d52backed Kings | 15c | 1,900$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Kings | 20c | 1,750$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…f773backed Kings | 15c | 1,700$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +57%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Timberwolves | 59c | 1,537$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.12 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Kings | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Kings | 28c | 1,455$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.89 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Kings | 19c | 1,454$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.21 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Kings | 16c | 1,438$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.41 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Kings | 13c | 1,435$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.57 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb6…3156backed Kings | 17c | 1,400$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Timberwolves | 69c | 1,313$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.06 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b76…adb3backed Kings | 17c | 1,300$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Kings | 18c | 1,292$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.4 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Kings | 32c | 1,267$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kings | 17c | 1,261$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.37 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Timberwolves | 73c | 1,257$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.21 | 440 | 40.5%178 W · 262 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Kings | 17c | 1,257$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.27 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Kings | 20c | 1,244$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Kings | 24c | 1,229$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 243 | 23.9%58 W · 185 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c9…6f77backed Kings | 9c | 1,142$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Timberwolves | 73c | 1,132$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.48 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…6404backed Kings | 13c | 1,119$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 531 | 41.8%222 W · 309 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings | 26c | 1,077$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.9 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 1,046$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.29 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 69c | 1,020$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kings | 11c | 1,002$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Kings | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d5…3df2backed Kings | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Timberwolves | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 165 | 40%66 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Timberwolves | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Kings | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b290backed Kings | 15c | 1,000$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Timberwolves | 71c | 968.98$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.66 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Kings | 39c | 962.74$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.88 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- Kings vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Kings vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Kings vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Kings vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Under won
- Kings vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
- Kings vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Under won
- Kings vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
- Kings vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Under won
- Kings vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
- Kings vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.