CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf5bde0aa210131c1644c3b1d6b9d9c46170bbda63ecdb135a34c22e8cc3f1c0

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Fire Flux Esportsof CYBERSHOKE Esports, Fire Flux Esports
Resolved: Dec 18, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $44,575
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $61,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,575 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Fire Flux Esports	72c	2,719$1,946 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$772.21	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Fire Flux Esports	45c	2,023$907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,115.85	282	48.9%138 W · 144 L	+21.4wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports	23c	1,704$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.91	362	45.3%164 W · 198 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports	62c	1,606$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.76	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e35…ba9dbacked Fire Flux Esports	44c	1,600$704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$896	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.56per pick	44cpaid	+127.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Fire Flux Esports	60c	1,598$961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$637.13	2,326	55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L	+44.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed CYBERSHOKE Esports	39c	1,442$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.96	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports	51c	1,200$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612	275	30.9%85 W · 190 L	-18.6wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed CYBERSHOKE Esports	43c	927.45$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.29	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	-10.0wins	-0.24per pick	45cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed CYBERSHOKE Esports	57c	878.76$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports	31c	867.63$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.46	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	-6.3wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34fa…80ccbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports	56c	805$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc475…0b06backed CYBERSHOKE Esports	56c	795$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Fire Flux Esports	44c	579.35$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.5	298	55%164 W · 134 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports	29c	520.35$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	227	54.2%123 W · 104 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ad6…0a8ebacked Fire Flux Esports	77c	500$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Fire Flux Esports	35c	500$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.5	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed CYBERSHOKE Esports	41c	492.97$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	134	61.9%83 W · 51 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cea…2d58backed Fire Flux Esports	78c	435.9$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.9	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e25…97f3backed Fire Flux Esports	70c	431.59$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.99	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	64cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed CYBERSHOKE Esports	47c	428.84$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.08	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.27per pick	36cpaid	+66.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x245b…d6bebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports	3c	419$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.84	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Fire Flux Esports	42c	409.53$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.16	972	30%292 W · 680 L	-23.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75d6…c56fbacked Fire Flux Esports	75c	408.33$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe44…1720backed CYBERSHOKE Esports	4c	398$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.72	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports	52c	350$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182	1,259	42.5%535 W · 724 L	+20.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Fire Flux Esports	48c	350$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Fire Flux Esports	43c	349.99$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.49	508	33.5%170 W · 338 L	+14.2wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3b4…9f6fbacked Fire Flux Esports	65c	308.03$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.81	40	67.5%27 W · 13 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports	56c	300$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	323	52%168 W · 155 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed CYBERSHOKE Esports	10c	259.22$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.92	573	22.3%128 W · 445 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac5…27d0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports	62c	256.95$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.56	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-2.9wins	-0.17per pick	64cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Fire Flux Esports	80c	250$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f56…f93cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports	26c	217.92$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.66	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb33…0acbbacked Fire Flux Esports	47c	213.43$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.43	149	51.7%77 W · 72 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed CYBERSHOKE Esports	11c	192.91$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.22	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Fire Flux Esports	9c	166.4$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.42	101	11.9%12 W · 89 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports	27c	164.81$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.5	381	31%118 W · 263 L	-11.1wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports	65c	163.45$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.58	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports	35c	151.99$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.52	449	57.5%258 W · 191 L	-19.7wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports	61c	147.54$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports	43c	142.16$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.71	213	54.5%116 W · 97 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Fire Flux Esports	70c	142$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.6	49	63.3%31 W · 18 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed CYBERSHOKE Esports	35c	141.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	65	32.3%21 W · 44 L	-4.6wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Fire Flux Esports	65c	132.85$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.5	45	68.9%31 W · 14 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Fire Flux Esports	60c	130$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	156	48.1%75 W · 81 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Fire Flux Esports	73c	128.65$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.59	617	54.8%338 W · 279 L	-18.6wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Fire Flux Esports	40c	125$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x845a…e291backed CYBERSHOKE Esports	51c	124$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked CYBERSHOKE Esports	30c	121.66$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.43	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports	46c	120$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.65	88	47.7%42 W · 46 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Fire Flux Esports	59c	119.59$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.03	146	45.2%66 W · 80 L	-8.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed CYBERSHOKE Esports	59c	112.71$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.12	988	56.1%554 W · 434 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Fire Flux Esports	61c	109.84$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.84	229	42.8%98 W · 131 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedff…c4adbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports	19c	102.84$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Fire Flux Esports	73c	99.32$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.82	172	46.5%80 W · 92 L	-16.9wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed CYBERSHOKE Esports	27c	91.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,046	45%471 W · 575 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e96…5bcdbacked Fire Flux Esports	59c	90$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.9	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Fire Flux Esports	64c	82.81$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.81	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked Fire Flux Esports	75c	80.36$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.09	142	33.8%48 W · 94 L	-18.8wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports	36c	80$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	660	34.1%225 W · 435 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Fire Flux Esports	60c	78.68$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.68	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Fire Flux Esports	71c	78.3$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.71	149	50.3%75 W · 74 L	-10.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Fire Flux Esports	54c	73.18$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.81	1,181	22.5%266 W · 915 L	+3.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd167…4b25backed Fire Flux Esports	49c	64$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.64	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+135.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7c6…5210backed CYBERSHOKE Esports	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50ef…ed27backed Fire Flux Esports	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd73c…d26cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports	55c	47.78$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b2e…e835backed Fire Flux Esports	59c	42.93$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Fire Flux Esports	74c	40.54$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.54	260	75%195 W · 65 L	+23.6wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x45e7…08ebbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports	35c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	67	23.9%16 W · 51 L	-8.1wins	-0.12per pick	36cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Fire Flux Esports	67c	37.06$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.06	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-3.9wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x33f1…7a59backed Fire Flux Esports	48c	35.42$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.42	185	43.2%80 W · 105 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports	36c	33.21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Fire Flux Esports	44c	31$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.36	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf08…c807backed Fire Flux Esports	75c	26.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.67	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed Fire Flux Esports	44c	26.63$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.91	66	40.9%27 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Fire Flux Esports	59c	20.34$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.34	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c7…007dbacked Fire Flux Esports	68c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.4	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7752…445dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-21%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Fire Flux Esports	65c	16.92$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.92	66	57.6%38 W · 28 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed Fire Flux Esports	68c	15.1$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.83	211	37.4%79 W · 132 L	-9.7wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3)this page
CYBERSHOKE Esports to win 2 maps?No won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event