TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Jazz, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,585,298
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,642,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,585,298 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 703 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b6c…6305backed Jazz15c262,912$39,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,313.757941.8%33 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Jazz15c236,944$35,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,541.5912147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz18c85,871$15,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,800.342,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jazz17c70,024$12,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,034.611,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Jazz13c69,908$9,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,251.8887144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Jazz6c63,308$3,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,886.641,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz16c57,000$8,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,879.9647028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz16c53,414$8,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,435.262,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jazz19c46,554$8,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,813.5581529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x654d…8e3ebacked Jazz14c40,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.97825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Clippers72c34,497$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,496.7616846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz16c34,493$5,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,605.621,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Jazz19c28,709$5,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,353.334042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b9c…57b3backed Clippers75c27,516$20,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,968.221050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Jazz15c25,669$3,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,850.9817436.2%63 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked Jazz10c25,644$2,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,669.799424.5%23 W · 71 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers80c22,978$18,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,637.293,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Jazz14c22,222$3,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,111.0828241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jazz19c18,265$3,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,437.762,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz21c18,015$3,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,794.082,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Jazz14c16,400$2,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,347.9961835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Jazz23c15,643$3,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,573.8689444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09dc…39b2backed Jazz5c14,774$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Jazz24c14,479$3,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,520.981,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Clippers75c12,598$9,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,202.7825546.7%119 W · 136 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Jazz16c12,154$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.5121538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Jazz19c10,509$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.8861939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers76c10,243$7,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,408.84,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Jazz15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Jazz22c10,000$2,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.811,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Clippers79c9,595$7,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9671,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Jazz24c9,292$2,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,192.577149.3%35 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Jazz1c8,841$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4164517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz18c8,100$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4581,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b9…9772backed Jazz16c7,870$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.1710637.7%40 W · 66 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Clippers78c7,733$5,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,734.3876054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Clippers77c7,544$5,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.6310235.3%36 W · 66 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Jazz28c7,413$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.7327144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jazz7c7,250$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.81,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Jazz17c7,061$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.0328742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa573…87c5backed Jazz15c6,947$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0421855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jazz24c6,930$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.741,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Jazz18c6,044$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.8611750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Jazz21c6,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28014245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Jazz17c6,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9914055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Jazz17c5,724$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97326729.2%78 W · 189 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz4c5,526$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.053,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Jazz18c5,349$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.646940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x414b…73bcbacked Jazz19c5,263$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014753.1%78 W · 69 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Jazz19c5,226$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.1512541.6%52 W · 73 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jazz1c5,176$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.378820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3513…3579backed Jazz16c5,135$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.021921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Jazz15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75044648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Jazz23c4,900$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12961336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Jazz25c4,803$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.252634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Jazz9c4,783$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.52,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…e73fbacked Jazz18c4,744$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85412531.2%39 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Clippers79c4,703$3,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.9444459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Clippers79c4,636$3,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.223,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Clippers79c4,579$3,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.3226842.9%115 W · 153 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Jazz11c4,559$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.71,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b3b…a84abacked Clippers70c4,330$3,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.822462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Jazz13c4,253$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.8550838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Jazz24c4,249$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.7222035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7ae…9bffbacked Jazz8c4,181$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.4340%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed Jazz14c4,152$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.284057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Clippers76c3,947$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.3731455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz21c3,924$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.0848845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Jazz26c3,920$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022449.1%110 W · 114 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe924…b7f1backed Jazz11c3,710$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.891010%1 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-76.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Jazz26c3,693$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.9334227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12c3…a470backed Jazz14c3,677$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006631.8%21 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Jazz16c3,599$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.5266744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Jazz17c3,529$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.6540035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Jazz15c3,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51015247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Jazz23c3,470$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.2136748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc393…66f9backed Jazz9c3,345$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005034%17 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Jazz15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a0…14b3backed Jazz18c3,300$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60316444.5%73 W · 91 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Jazz19c3,293$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.4926659%157 W · 109 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Clippers72c3,282$2,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.7739349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jazz6c3,244$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.653,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70db…05c8backed Jazz25c3,236$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.281040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Jazz22c3,202$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70038649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a22…63b2backed Jazz18c3,111$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5605250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Jazz22c3,036$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.541,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b4f…37b8backed Clippers79c3,033$2,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.641675%12 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Jazz14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b6…31e9backed Clippers70c2,978$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.321553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed Jazz40c2,938$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.753938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fb…702ebacked Jazz18c2,889$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5206758.2%39 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Clippers76c2,850$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.0122457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Clippers74c2,850$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7411957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72bc…c332backed Jazz9c2,750$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.618332.2%59 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219d…db61backed Clippers78c2,750$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.943043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Jazz17c2,742$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.1829037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Clippers77c2,740$2,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.9538046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Jazz17c2,739$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.6717861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Clippers64c2,672$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.6439051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.