NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2d6e957029249ba5038dd8802e38d2aeeccf446f01346ad07a0c2117be29fb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 51c | 4,174$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.13 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 51c | 3,251$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.98 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 51c | 1,682$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.35 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Under | 51c | 1,381$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.85 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Over | 45c | 1,128$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.71 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 15c | 695$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 435.64$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 7c | 426.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 54c | 412.96$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.96 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 11c | 363.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…92e3backed Over | 21c | 346.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -72%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 35c | 258.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.32 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Over | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 39c | 128.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 14c | 112.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 34c | 88.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 65c | 76.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 40c | 72.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 56c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 35c | 60.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…5d79backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7422…e383backed Under | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1725…7405backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 35.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 35c | 33.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…af09backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Jazz won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Jazz won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Jazz won
- Jazz vs. ClippersClippers won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-11.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-12.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-14.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.