NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb40b73497009f6d76aabd02ddd46420ee47e9a4df2b804797261b402abec57ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Jazz | 50c | 49,897$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Clippers | 51c | 20,765$10,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,174.64 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 50c | 20,442$10,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,281.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Jazz | 49c | 13,928$6,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,824.69 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 47c | 12,467$5,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600.75 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Clippers | 52c | 9,161$4,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,397.46 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazz | 53c | 6,587$3,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,483.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Jazz | 53c | 2,639$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.77 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Clippers | 49c | 2,510$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.14 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Clippers | 51c | 2,042$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.58 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers | 50c | 1,865$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.44 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.85 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Clippers | 52c | 1,539$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.71 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Clippers | 51c | 1,197$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.49 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Jazz | 50c | 1,130$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Jazz | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Clippers | 50c | 842.06$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.03 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Clippers | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Clippers | 51c | 736.56$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.91 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…9802backed Jazz | 50c | 604.04$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.02 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Clippers | 46c | 412.14$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.46 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz | 53c | 267.93$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.81 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Jazz | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Clippers | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Clippers | 51c | 182$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Clippers | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Clippers | 50c | 106.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…c7f5backed Jazz | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Clippers | 50c | 103.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…224dbacked Jazz | 61c | 100.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Jazz | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Clippers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Clippers | 51c | 90.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Jazz | 49c | 81.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Clippers | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Jazz | 32c | 72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Clippers | 50c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c9…96f1backed Jazz | 50c | 43.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Jazz | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6427…56bbbacked Clippers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Clippers | 51c | 35.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Clippers | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Jazz | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Clippers | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Jazz | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Jazz | 51c | 20.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…271dbacked Jazz | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Jazz won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Jazz won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Jazz won
- Jazz vs. ClippersClippers won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-11.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-12.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-14.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.