TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,716 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfce1…9ce7backed Clippers50c5,824$2,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,912.235450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdc…2454backed Clippers49c4,575$2,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.252365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee9f…b134backed Jazz51c4,575$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.252030%6 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz43c3,916$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.019,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Clippers57c3,387$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.8347651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Clippers57c2,786$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.531,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Clippers61c2,500$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.111242%47 W · 65 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers46c2,302$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.543,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Jazz46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92051753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Clippers63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.4748957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Clippers53c1,949$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.938046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz46c1,946$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.688,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz46c1,797$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.865,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jazz47c1,679$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.92,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Clippers45c1,562$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.195651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Jazz43c1,500$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Clippers36c1,302$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.182,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65de…9846backed Jazz50c1,005$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Jazz43c950$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.510235.3%36 W · 66 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Clippers45c900$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4951,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Jazz40c900$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Jazz56c850.53$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.691,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Clippers55c845.42$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.5191050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Jazz62c840.6$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.2721055.2%116 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Clippers75c804.86$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.861,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers45c797$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.352,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Clippers54c747.39$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.82,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe8…fe1abacked Clippers59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2879341.9%39 W · 54 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers59c661$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.826,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Jazz45c659.98$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.9972250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers51c505.07$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.754,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb342…418ebacked Jazz75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3751926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Clippers59c499.99$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.999042.2%38 W · 52 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz41c499$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.594,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…540abacked Clippers55c476.36$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.361181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+59%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Clippers44c457.31$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2541,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers24c448.7$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.153,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Clippers53c432.34$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.092,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Jazz35c419.83$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14613435.8%48 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Jazz40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e46…25c2backed Clippers56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1411047.3%52 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Jazz52c281$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.492,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Jazz43c274.4$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11836649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e07…c0d4backed Jazz50c273.67$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5513456.7%76 W · 58 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Jazz52c266.96$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8236748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers47c253.42$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.853,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Jazz43c248.62$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0963745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde2a…2b50backed Jazz42c238.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Jazz46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Jazz48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029346.4%136 W · 157 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Jazz47c207.26$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4128241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Jazz50c200.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Clippers58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Clippers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10023748.1%114 W · 123 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9714…3014backed Clippers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9012054.2%65 W · 55 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Jazz48c183.49$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.550347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc95…c60fbacked Clippers51c148.98$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732556%14 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Jazz40c140$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Jazz48c138.27$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3722347.1%105 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8776…1ca3backed Jazz49c136.73$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Jazz30c135.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Clippers77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8719756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Jazz23c129.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8727937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xdf46…a799backed Clippers20c116.8$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4411151.4%57 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Jazz41c109.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8176247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Jazz47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508132.1%26 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Jazz48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509660.4%58 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Jazz60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Jazz41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4195548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Clippers40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6080744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Jazz45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4552242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Clippers59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Jazz41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016945.6%77 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Clippers55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9161056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Jazz23c86.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026546%122 W · 143 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Jazz41c85.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.493849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7972…930fbacked Clippers60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.338247.6%39 W · 43 L-12.3wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-24.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xeabd…8115backed Jazz61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Clippers57c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.42,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Clippers26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9240346.2%186 W · 217 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jazz72c75$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b95…8428backed Clippers78c73.58$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.19650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf1…f54fbacked Clippers60c73.56$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.164158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Jazz46c72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.121,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cb…4a87backed Clippers25c70.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.62933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa64b…1e4bbacked Jazz42c68.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.783655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Clippers60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.672,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Clippers66c66.33$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8224846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d48…b9a1backed Clippers55c65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2519254.7%105 W · 87 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Clippers30c63.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4830616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Jazz41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2538050.8%193 W · 187 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Clippers55c55.51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9817345.1%78 W · 95 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Clippers55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz43c53.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.793,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Jazz43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f10…ef9abacked Jazz50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257935.4%28 W · 51 L-10.1wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Jazz43c48.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.693,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83fc…13ccbacked Jazz42c46.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6112654%68 W · 58 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Clippers43c44.13$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0288845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Jazz46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018347.5%87 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.