TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,375
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,375 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc617…a854backed Under54c8,444$4,560 inWon+$3,884.4442648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under54c790.5$427 inWon+$363.6336351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over4c261$11 inLost-$11.432,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over44c253.8$112 inLost-$111.961,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c217.04$123 inWon+$93.898,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked Under58c173.9$101 inWon+$73.0410167.3%68 W · 33 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over37c99.99$37 inLost-$3735739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over32c93$30 inLost-$30.081,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Under63c84.44$53 inWon+$31.241275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over36c78.79$28 inLost-$28.114,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c76.56$39 inWon+$37.519,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f34…1a46backed Under64c68.81$44 inWon+$24.932045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0d8…480bbacked Over34c68.62$23 inLost-$23.338336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Over37c63.49$23 inLost-$23.4976247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under63c63.49$40 inWon+$23.4933258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Under60c61.21$37 inWon+$24.2820762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Under69c58$40 inWon+$17.9829652.7%156 W · 140 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under70c57.4$40 inWon+$17.42,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under66c50.3$33 inWon+$17.185147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba8…bc05backed Over42c50$21 inLost-$214751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over43c43.99$19 inLost-$18.9224552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over39c40.97$16 inLost-$15.981,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over30c39.08$12 inLost-$11.733,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Under65c23$15 inWon+$8.0537949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Under54c19.2$10 inWon+$8.8330244%133 W · 169 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.