NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-12.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bafafe8ab821b006fe1571b94df1f26bf085fb80414d6b132034c27c125a793

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Clippersof Clippers, Jazz
Resolved: Jan 2, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $35,863
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $35,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,863 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers	55c	5,403$2,992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,410.86	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers	50c	3,109$1,546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,562.82	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz	44c	2,962$1,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,314.41	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Jazz	50c	2,918$1,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,464.26	483	47.2%228 W · 255 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz	43c	2,813$1,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,214.87	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Clippers	49c	2,559$1,254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,305.19	277	35%97 W · 180 L	-30.7wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Jazz	44c	2,500$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Clippers	57c	2,200$1,254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$946	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16da…ef29backed Jazz	50c	1,505$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.5	129	60.5%78 W · 51 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Clippers	50c	1,500$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Jazz	51c	1,156$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz	46c	1,005$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.25	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Clippers	49c	846.59$415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$432.08	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz	43c	773.04$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.41	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers	50c	748.29$374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.15	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Clippers	53c	728.45$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.24	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Jazz	45c	666.67$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	152	44.1%67 W · 85 L	-14.4wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Jazz	44c	600$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Jazz	28c	535.71$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.98	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90db…3c17backed Clippers	55c	484.72$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.12	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Clippers	51c	420$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.8	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Jazz	46c	420$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.2	623	51.4%320 W · 303 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Clippers	56c	408$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.52	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Jazz	9c	400$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	95	15.8%15 W · 80 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Jazz	45c	395.36$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.91	101	38.6%39 W · 62 L	-6.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Clippers	56c	357.31$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.22	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Clippers	49c	300.78$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.4	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Jazz	9c	300$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	158	7%11 W · 147 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Jazz	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	245	56.3%138 W · 107 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Jazz	9c	300$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	43	7%3 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26a5…2731backed Jazz	51c	272.67$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Clippers	52c	254.29$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.74	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Clippers	50c	232.46$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.23	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Jazz	48c	205.91$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.1	1,109	41.8%464 W · 645 L	-20.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Jazz	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	85	11.8%10 W · 75 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers	50c	192.88$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.77	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Jazz	50c	161.18$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	332	46.1%153 W · 179 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Clippers	50c	146.52$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.07	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaed5…981dbacked Jazz	51c	143.14$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	85	55.3%47 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Clippers	52c	134.62$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.62	239	48.5%116 W · 123 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b4b…14e2backed Jazz	54c	120.37$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	235	47.7%112 W · 123 L	+8.3wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa64b…1e4bbacked Jazz	50c	115.8$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.9	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93c8…61c4backed Clippers	57c	114.04$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.04	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f17…2332backed Clippers	53c	113.21$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.21	121	55.4%67 W · 54 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Jazz	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	327	50.2%164 W · 163 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Jazz	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	628	48.7%306 W · 322 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked Clippers	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Jazz	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	498	52.4%261 W · 237 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83fc…13ccbacked Jazz	50c	88.74$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.37	126	54%68 W · 58 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Clippers	21c	73.13$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.13	403	46.2%186 W · 217 L	+9.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Clippers	56c	71.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.43	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89a7…e7dbbacked Clippers	56c	70$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.8	111	43.2%48 W · 63 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Clippers	57c	59.65$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.65	324	50%162 W · 162 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5ff…af12backed Jazz	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	136	51.5%70 W · 66 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Clippers	49c	53$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.93	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf8…2540backed Clippers	80c	51.25$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.25	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ea…21e1backed Jazz	45c	44.42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	119	30.3%36 W · 83 L	-8.5wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa916…4f30backed Clippers	57c	43.86$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.86	158	41.1%65 W · 93 L	-12.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jazz	46c	40.7$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.65	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Jazz	46c	40.38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.57	222	47.3%105 W · 117 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59eb…fa33backed Jazz	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	99	41.4%41 W · 58 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee35…11ecbacked Jazz	53c	38.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc840…0650backed Jazz	46c	35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.05	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Jazz	40c	34$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.56	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a233backed Jazz	50c	31.69$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.85	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Jazz	45c	31.59$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Jazz	45c	31.01$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.95	379	49.3%187 W · 192 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Jazz	50c	30.2$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.1	484	51.2%248 W · 236 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Jazz	50c	28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	456	51.1%233 W · 223 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Jazz	50c	28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	599	48.4%290 W · 309 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89d9…5136backed Jazz	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Jazz	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	879	50.6%445 W · 434 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e6c…9a1dbacked Jazz	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Clippers (-12.5)this page
1H Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Jazz won
1H Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Jazz won
1H Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Jazz won
Jazz vs. ClippersClippers won
Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5Under won
Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5Under won
Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5Under won
Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5Under won
Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5Under won
Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5Under won
Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 236.5Under won
Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 237.5Under won
Spread: Clippers (-11.5)Clippers won
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Clippers won
Spread: Clippers (-14.5)Clippers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Clippers (-12.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event