TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$188,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,822

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,844 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Jazz52c142,539$73,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,853.912,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb698…c7febacked Clippers49c20,408$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,408.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe262…0b1cbacked Clippers49c18,367$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,367.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+73.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9722…a46dbacked Clippers49c12,245$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,244.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+37%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Clippers47c12,000$5,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,3605541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers47c11,922$5,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,316.439,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Clippers47c11,172$5,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,921.1624053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Clippers47c10,920$5,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,787.662351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Clippers47c10,564$4,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,598.8317344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31d6…ac91backed Clippers49c10,232$5,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,218.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Clippers49c7,130$3,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,636.3416254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Clippers49c6,306$3,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,216.0542648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Clippers49c6,122$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.4538750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers53c3,746$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.968,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers40c3,518$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,123.483,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Clippers34c2,780$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.151,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers46c2,439$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.384,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16da…ef29backed Jazz53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06012960.5%78 W · 51 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65de…9846backed Jazz59c1,935$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.011050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Jazz52c1,785$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.992,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Jazz58c1,743$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.9950347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Clippers47c1,417$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.012,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers46c1,249$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.362,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Jazz36c1,208$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.9613040%52 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f92…1862backed Clippers47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.835463%34 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Jazz57c1,037$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.0891050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcff9…9e5ebacked Clippers49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.41425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Jazz52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52051651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jazz52c999.98$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9945647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Jazz54c927.83$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49962546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Clippers48c905.25$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.731,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Clippers47c773.14$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.761,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Clippers47c650.55$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.7992753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Clippers48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32512650%63 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Jazz5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309515.8%15 W · 80 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Clippers49c589.8$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.827939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Jazz29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14559144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Clippers47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2659042.2%38 W · 52 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Jazz54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27056945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Jazz54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27022846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…fe28backed Jazz2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Jazz5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25437%3 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Clippers47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26510244.1%45 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Clippers47c499.9$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9440947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Clippers47c417$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.0162744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Jazz54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21690957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Jazz20c381.82$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2727435.4%97 W · 177 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb1…0812backed Jazz54c371.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Clippers47c338.51$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4151146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Clippers47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.156656.1%37 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3295…07afbacked Clippers47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.153735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers47c312.4$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.93,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Jazz8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241587%11 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick7cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9e0…719cbacked Jazz53c294$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.761266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+61.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Clippers46c284.43$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.591,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8333…eb93backed Clippers48c280.9$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.073551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Clippers34c268.67$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3252052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Jazz54c255.91$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1949852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Clippers49c240$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.817747.5%84 W · 93 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Jazz53c226.71$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4915355.6%85 W · 68 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe82b…91d3backed Clippers47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.778151.9%42 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Clippers49c204$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.045158.8%30 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Jazz53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10661747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Clippers47c200$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1072,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68db…ee32backed Jazz53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008453.6%45 W · 39 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x922d…d82bbacked Jazz53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003836.8%14 W · 24 L-7.9wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-33.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers46c160.83$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.075,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz43c157.89$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.893,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13bc…2d19backed Clippers16c153.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.843215.6%5 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Clippers45c151.97$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5848347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de7…4720backed Clippers47c136.7$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.457350.7%37 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c1…18c7backed Jazz54c135.19$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7314042.9%60 W · 80 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Jazz53c132.48$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7025058.4%146 W · 104 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc297…b0d2backed Jazz36c119.02$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437254.2%39 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d1d…d8c0backed Jazz48c118.08$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.485139.2%20 W · 31 L-7.4wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Clippers48c113.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.162,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Jazz46c111$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7316045%72 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2386…1a2dbacked Clippers74c108.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5913735.8%49 W · 88 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3301…95bfbacked Clippers47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.385834.5%20 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Jazz30c103.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3126339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Jazz53c103.28$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5562450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ff0…91fcbacked Jazz53c100.77$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c44…6ecebacked Jazz54c100.7$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541816.7%3 W · 15 L-5.1wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x56c2…629fbacked Clippers47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Clippers47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5349938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Clippers46c85.69$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.271,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Clippers47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.112,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc22…ee03backed Jazz69c80$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.24647.8%22 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8cf…1dc8backed Jazz54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9549…b936backed Jazz54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024452.5%128 W · 116 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Clippers45c72.24$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.021,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed Clippers70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4311651.7%60 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Clippers31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.521,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Clippers21c59.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8130616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Jazz35c59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6574547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a3…ae13backed Jazz53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa296…ab9ebacked Clippers73c54.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.81850%9 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc081…224dbacked Jazz43c52.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.54746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Jazz50c50.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516664.5%107 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Clippers49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.