NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0df79552e833ad0929c8e5d2ef28dc36b085f40e6c87d0dc9f8069eefc11ccac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Over | 50c | 3,030$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.82 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Under | 50c | 3,015$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.32 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Under | 51c | 2,178$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.43 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 51c | 1,634$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.66 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Under | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Under | 51c | 558$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.42 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…540abacked Under | 49c | 555.1$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.1 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +59%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 417.46$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.73 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 51c | 291$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.59 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 50c | 199.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 43c | 150$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 67c | 133.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 49c | 123$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…5d79backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…3f14backed Over | 50c | 62.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…7572backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 59.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Over | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 291 | 56.4%164 W · 127 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +12.1wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…d674backed Over | 56c | 35.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 50c | 26.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…87dabacked Under | 51c | 26.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…e46bbacked Over | 50c | 24.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf8…2540backed Under | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…786cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Jazz won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Jazz won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Jazz won
- Jazz vs. ClippersClippers won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-11.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-12.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-14.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.