NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01274e5904f297ef5065f0ca308f12b3c77f91fa7edee4fa2d333cba4a1a917f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 49c | 60,000$29,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,632.69 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 51c | 49,429$25,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,208.66 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 53c | 9,337$4,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,948.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 11c | 7,365$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.18 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 48c | 5,985$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.42 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce3…9edbbacked Over | 45c | 3,100$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Over | 51c | 1,960$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 1,306$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.9 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 1,130$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 1,100$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.6 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 4c | 740.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…0fa3backed Over | 28c | 599.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.69 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Over | 52c | 558.52$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.43 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 40c | 539.98$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1021…e648backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 6c | 499.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0424…95ddbacked Over | 52c | 480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Under | 50c | 364$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 290.59$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 55c | 270$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 254.24$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.41 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…0ad1backed Over | 52c | 192.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 74c | 184.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…f879backed Over | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Under | 47c | 159.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…dfd2backed Over | 43c | 148$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 53c | 108.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…6bc7backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 57.7%90 W · 66 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…6e04backed Over | 51c | 92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…224dbacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 47c | 64.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 56.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…92e3backed Over | 44c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -72%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 48c | 51.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…d799backed Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Over | 53c | 47.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 291 | 56.4%164 W · 127 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 49c | 43.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb37…0e37backed Under | 58c | 41.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b9…7b8dbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Under | 47c | 34.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 51c | 30.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Over | 50c | 23.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 56c | 21.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Jazz won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Jazz won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Jazz won
- Jazz vs. ClippersClippers won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-11.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-12.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-14.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.