NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7be5283670d5ea86fe3f276d3ac124cd4d6a28af4a46693725fa801edd07095
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 3,223$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 45c | 1,772$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Under | 52c | 1,304$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.1 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x659e…d0b0backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 390$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 249.34$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.19 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 167.4$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 160.53$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 45c | 111.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 53c | 101.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 55c | 84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 31c | 78.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 56c | 77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 53c | 72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 68c | 59.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 33c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 40c | 32.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 32c | 32.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…d3bebacked Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 56c | 28.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Under | 67c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Jazz won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Jazz won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Jazz won
- Jazz vs. ClippersClippers won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-11.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-12.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-14.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.