NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34dc76ab08cad59ef9b2bc4bfbf6e850b31b65d8318b54976c65c9d8d068ca4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 51c | 14,165$7,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,974.6 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 8,966$4,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,393.32 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Over | 51c | 4,203$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.53 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Under | 50c | 2,217$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 54c | 1,515$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.55 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under | 50c | 1,380$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.17 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Under | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 48c | 1,107$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.58 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 1,062$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Over | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 252$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Under | 56c | 235$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 50c | 230.38$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.27 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…540abacked Under | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +59%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…8defbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.6wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 237 | 48.1%114 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 73c | 187.45$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 49c | 174.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 55c | 151$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de7…4720backed Over | 45c | 148.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 46c | 119.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 117.16$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…92e3backed Over | 26c | 102.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -72%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -12.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 46c | 66.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 47c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 29c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 29c | 47.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…0842backed Under | 57c | 47.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b9…7b8dbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74e…90b6backed Under | 56c | 27.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…1ae2backed Under | 57c | 25.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709c…7347backed Under | 57c | 24.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb37…0e37backed Over | 51c | 23.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…0f55backed Under | 57c | 22.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…ae51backed Under | 57c | 21.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Jazz won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Jazz won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Jazz won
- Jazz vs. ClippersClippers won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-11.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-12.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-14.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.