TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hawks, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,948,985
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,153,871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,948,985 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 882 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbcc9…26fbbacked Hornets36c154,094$55,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,155.894456.8%25 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+26%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf98d…7adbbacked Hornets36c121,124$43,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,925.861258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Hawks36c100,000$35,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,60038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe74a…40eebacked Hawks64c86,306$55,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,235.951947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Hornets53c82,876$43,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,955.322,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd43c…04e8backed Hornets37c60,000$22,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,799.9911535.7%41 W · 74 L-12.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Hawks64c56,000$35,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,839.9818151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hawks41c43,907$18,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,006.771,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Hornets68c38,353$26,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,158.37869.2%54 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks64c37,869$24,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,221.544,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Hawks64c35,000$22,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,4009348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed Hawks63c30,488$19,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,207.5914549%71 W · 74 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Hawks64c27,360$17,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,510.3819351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hawks23c26,560$6,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,196.51,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks64c26,294$16,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,828.044,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Hawks63c23,028$14,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,577.3827424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hawks45c22,735$10,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,122.975,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Hornets34c20,176$6,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,244.2774748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Hornets37c20,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,6008939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks1c20,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Hornets37c20,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,6001,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Hawks32c20,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,40037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Hawks64c18,659$11,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,941.6822453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hornets36c17,220$6,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,088.612,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Hornets36c16,809$6,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,758.0572648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hawks32c16,033$5,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,172.891,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Hornets37c16,014$5,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,088.8147848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Hawks66c15,152$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00034062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Hawks63c15,000$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,50018045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Hornets37c14,021$5,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,833.4835547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hawks25c13,977$3,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,516.7981529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Hornets64c13,623$8,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,875.2718453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Hawks66c12,919$8,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,526.7625753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Hornets35c12,423$4,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,074.7745151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks64c12,151$7,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,761.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Hawks31c12,042$3,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,727.7627917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets73c10,212$7,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.561,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Hawks63c10,185$6,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,416.461,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Hornets37c10,078$3,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,35114244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff8c…ba2dbacked Hawks63c9,281$5,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,846.76683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+90.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks27c8,656$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370.068,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked Hawks65c8,415$5,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4703151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks23c7,698$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.454,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Hornets35c7,592$2,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,935.1217250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x708d…8a09backed Hawks30c7,251$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,204.9721923.7%52 W · 167 L+0.5wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Hornets37c7,179$2,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,548.961,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd43…5db2backed Hornets37c7,000$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,410666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+114.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x65cd…1e0bbacked Hawks66c6,969$4,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,581.353745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a4…e9adbacked Hawks37c6,910$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,558.274535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Hawks63c6,750$4,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,252.488543.5%37 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa50e…ee04backed Hawks63c6,500$4,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,094.991353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hornets36c6,423$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,122.912,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Hornets36c6,276$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,027.2444648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Hawks65c6,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,90011244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Hawks16c6,000$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.9783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Hornets35c5,999$2,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,915.0514055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Hornets36c5,555$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.21,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Hawks64c5,555$3,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,555.1836741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Hawks64c5,478$3,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,518.7362347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Hornets61c5,471$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,137.7317441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Hawks25c5,441$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.631,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Hawks63c5,361$3,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,377.3248448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc49…ffd6backed Hawks67c5,100$3,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,414.563250%16 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Hornets36c5,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,20019048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f56…f93cbacked Hawks1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Hawks64c5,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20027848.9%136 W · 142 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Hornets36c4,771$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,060.1421538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11b5…0d05backed Hawks54c4,631$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002536%9 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17c1…a606backed Hawks63c4,617$2,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,908.072352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Hawks17c4,483$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.011,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Hawks66c4,440$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,930.41,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hornets35c4,164$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,720.212,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32eb…0c1bbacked Hawks63c4,096$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,580.482626.9%7 W · 19 L-6.6wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-46.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Hawks49c3,839$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.51,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Hawks65c3,791$2,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,446.9248944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Hornets35c3,602$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.511,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Hawks42c3,571$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50041954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Hawks62c3,500$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16556945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Hawks64c3,500$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.9522637.2%84 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Hawks22c3,463$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.943,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Hawks63c3,427$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.4844459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e47…3d20backed Hawks27c3,332$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Hornets36c3,186$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.5741652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdab1…eaa6backed Hornets76c3,171$2,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.081457.1%8 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+85.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Hawks61c3,152$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.0266744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets37c3,050$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Hawks33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021455.1%118 W · 96 L-1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Hawks35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05076850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Hawks34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Hawks65c3,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95010057%57 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c75…5d84backed Hornets35c3,000$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Hornets35c3,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.9843051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Hawks64c2,898$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.1716749.1%82 W · 85 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa33a…f84fbacked Hornets35c2,800$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,82011252.7%59 W · 53 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0440…a995backed Hawks64c2,800$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,79211540%46 W · 69 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Hawks26c2,787$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.0334227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Hawks2c2,700$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651587%11 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick7cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks63c2,700$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7011,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdec1…28bdbacked Hornets36c2,679$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.473636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Hornets37c2,500$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.