NFL · resolved market
Colts vs. Seahawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01c17682836c4df18653f18cb83b894592b1c7a883fb0ebb6878ec1bb48ea7d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Colts, Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,847,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,098,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,847,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 536 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Colts | 15c | 256,031$38,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,404.64 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Colts | 15c | 142,209$21,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,398.92 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Colts | 15c | 100,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Colts | 14c | 100,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…55ffbacked Colts | 19c | 100,000$19,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Seahawks | 61c | 85,510$51,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,513.04 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Colts | 14c | 67,609$9,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,703.39 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Colts | 19c | 60,447$11,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,680.14 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Colts | 14c | 56,502$7,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,891.38 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Colts | 11c | 51,089$5,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,816.51 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Colts | 14c | 50,294$7,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,041.11 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Colts | 12c | 50,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.99 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Colts | 16c | 42,359$6,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,582 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Seahawks | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Colts | 14c | 35,471$4,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,903.11 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Colts | 31c | 32,625$10,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,155.11 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Colts | 12c | 31,973$3,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,836.77 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Colts | 41c | 30,015$12,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,300.12 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Colts | 16c | 24,344$3,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,895 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Colts | 40c | 22,988$9,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,207.91 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Seahawks | 65c | 21,890$14,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,620.52 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Colts | 15c | 20,549$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.94 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…3cc5backed Colts | 20c | 20,296$4,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,105 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478d…9ea9backed Colts | 12c | 19,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colts | 27c | 16,441$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,398.94 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Seahawks | 57c | 15,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5143…bee0backed Colts | 12c | 14,961$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colts | 21c | 13,591$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.6 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Seahawks | 59c | 13,568$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,567.89 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Colts | 14c | 13,460$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Colts | 42c | 13,283$5,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,578.69 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Colts | 19c | 13,110$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.44 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…053fbacked Colts | 15c | 12,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdea3…e4babacked Colts | 44c | 11,812$5,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,189.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed Seahawks | 54c | 11,798$6,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,427.12 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…3532backed Colts | 20c | 10,816$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.12 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Seahawks | 61c | 10,420$6,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.6 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…14d2backed Colts | 12c | 8,859$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…8015backed Colts | 12c | 8,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Colts | 37c | 8,176$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.61 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Seahawks | 76c | 7,843$5,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.33 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…357dbacked Seahawks | 78c | 6,917$5,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Colts | 22c | 6,621$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Colts | 16c | 6,375$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Colts | 8c | 5,766$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.69 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…ca67backed Colts | 17c | 5,500$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Colts | 43c | 5,297$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6706…cd14backed Colts | 13c | 5,280$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa01d…a645backed Seahawks | 57c | 5,258$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.86 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Colts | 36c | 5,248$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.41 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Seahawks | 72c | 5,049$3,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.14 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Colts | 12c | 5,031$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.36 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…7705backed Colts | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Colts | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Colts | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb0…df22backed Colts | 13c | 4,928$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Seahawks | 59c | 4,654$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.95 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x714c…f68dbacked Colts | 13c | 4,620$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Seahawks | 65c | 4,601$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.86 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Colts | 16c | 4,516$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.74 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Colts | 14c | 4,379$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.12 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked Colts | 14c | 4,288$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Seahawks | 53c | 4,183$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.6 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561f…a932backed Colts | 21c | 4,079$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Colts | 37c | 4,041$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.03 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a74…578fbacked Colts | 13c | 3,918$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5a…9ecdbacked Colts | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…3defbacked Colts | 15c | 3,707$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Colts | 16c | 3,569$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.03 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Seahawks | 70c | 3,524$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.56 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Seahawks | 73c | 3,499$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.63 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Seahawks | 72c | 3,474$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.14 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Colts | 24c | 3,446$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.24 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Seahawks | 80c | 3,427$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3398…4de3backed Colts | 13c | 3,382$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9210…a5f0backed Colts | 12c | 3,125$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Colts | 16c | 3,010$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.6 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Colts | 32c | 2,920$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.49 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Seahawks | 59c | 2,874$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.8 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Colts | 36c | 2,804$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…e73fbacked Colts | 12c | 2,683$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Seahawks | 69c | 2,674$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.84 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Seahawks | 62c | 2,669$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.34 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…756dbacked Colts | 13c | 2,641$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Colts | 20c | 2,625$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.18 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcac…fa54backed Colts | 19c | 2,621$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…4418backed Colts | 12c | 2,600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Colts | 39c | 2,508$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.04 | 51 | 7.8%4 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Colts | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Colts | 42c | 2,489$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.47 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Colts | 15c | 2,436$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.68 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Colts | 14c | 2,367$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.38 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Seahawks | 65c | 2,352$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.27 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…f73bbacked Seahawks | 55c | 2,220$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Seahawks | 66c | 2,205$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.29 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…30b8backed Colts | 13c | 2,178$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Colts | 30c | 2,074$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Seahawks | 68c | 2,044$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.23 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Colts | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Colts | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colts vs. Seahawksthis page
- Colts vs. Seahawks: 1H MoneylineColts won
- Colts vs. Seahawks: O/U 41.5Under won
- Colts vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5Under won
- Colts vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5Under won
- Spread: Seahawks (-10.5)Colts won
- Spread: Seahawks (-11.5)Colts won
- Spread: Seahawks (-12.5)Colts won
- Spread: Seahawks (-13.5)Colts won
- Spread: Seahawks (-14.5)Colts won
- Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)Colts won
- Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)Colts won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.