NFL · resolved market
Spread: Seahawks (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa311390f37d91baf1bbb8641fa76d5f36ce613374edc3ff5fc0ba4f5178efcf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coltsof Seahawks, Colts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $567,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $653,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $567,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Colts | 49c | 156,178$76,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,842.89 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Colts | 51c | 84,900$43,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,601 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Seahawks | 49c | 71,198$34,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,995.48 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…1795backed Seahawks | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,500 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Seahawks | 49c | 40,828$20,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,189.64 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Colts | 50c | 40,000$20,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,867.77 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed Seahawks | 49c | 39,536$19,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,453.35 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Colts | 50c | 39,377$19,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,688.53 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Seahawks | 51c | 38,287$19,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,526.49 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Seahawks | 50c | 32,770$16,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,523.66 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Seahawks | 52c | 24,054$12,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,572.08 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seahawks | 51c | 19,765$10,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,080.37 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Colts | 52c | 18,000$9,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,640 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Seahawks | 48c | 17,262$8,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,285.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Seahawks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Colts | 50c | 6,286$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135.93 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colts | 50c | 5,369$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.14 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Colts | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Colts | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Colts | 51c | 4,919$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.46 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Seahawks | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Seahawks | 51c | 3,943$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.9 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Seahawks | 45c | 3,521$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.75 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Seahawks | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b48…050cbacked Seahawks | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Seahawks | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Colts | 52c | 2,363$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.14 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Seahawks | 46c | 2,176$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Seahawks | 51c | 2,059$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Colts | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Seahawks | 49c | 1,274$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.79 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Seahawks | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Colts | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.43 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9210…a5f0backed Colts | 50c | 1,002$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Seahawks | 50c | 1,001$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.7 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Seahawks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Seahawks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Colts | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Colts | 50c | 947.79$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.39 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Seahawks | 49c | 904$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.96 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Seahawks | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Seahawks | 49c | 841$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.09 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Colts | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colts | 55c | 794.83$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.65 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Seahawks | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Colts | 48c | 601.92$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…3984backed Seahawks | 50c | 580.1$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.75 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Colts | 49c | 575.15$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.23 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Colts | 46c | 550$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.5 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Colts | 49c | 508.08$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.12 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Colts | 51c | 501$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.6 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Seahawks | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Seahawks | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Seahawks | 51c | 420$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…3b03backed Seahawks | 49c | 409.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Seahawks | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Seahawks | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…dd2fbacked Seahawks | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Seahawks | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Colts | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Colts | 50c | 324$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.21 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Colts | 53c | 303.28$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.54 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Seahawks | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Colts | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f87…c701backed Colts | 53c | 290$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Seahawks | 51c | 289.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Seahawks | 49c | 265.29$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Seahawks | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Colts | 50c | 219$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.96 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Colts | 50c | 219$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.96 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Seahawks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Colts | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Colts | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Seahawks | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…85f4backed Seahawks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked Colts | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Colts | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Colts | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Colts | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Colts | 50c | 190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 82 | 74.4%61 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Seahawks | 49c | 189.34$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Seahawks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Colts | 50c | 150$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Colts | 50c | 146$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Colts | 50c | 122$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Colts | 50c | 122$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…4d3abacked Seahawks | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Seahawks | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…0473backed Colts | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Colts | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Seahawks | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Seahawks | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Seahawks | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…ac13backed Seahawks | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Seahawks | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked Seahawks | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x512f…6a7ebacked Colts | 51c | 82.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Colts | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Colts | 50c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Colts | 50c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seahawks (-13.5)this page
- Colts vs. SeahawksSeahawks won
- Colts vs. Seahawks: 1H MoneylineColts won
- Colts vs. Seahawks: O/U 41.5Under won
- Colts vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5Under won
- Colts vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5Under won
- Spread: Seahawks (-10.5)Colts won
- Spread: Seahawks (-11.5)Colts won
- Spread: Seahawks (-12.5)Colts won
- Spread: Seahawks (-14.5)Colts won
- Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)Colts won
- Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)Colts won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.