NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bc59c6249a43aac779f230ff7db43318f3a74c8de8f620eaf8682fed851aee0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Canucks, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $931,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $931,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $931,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 652 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Islanders | 56c | 154,945$86,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,769.2 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Canucks | 44c | 133,003$58,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,481.7 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Islanders | 29c | 100,000$29,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,200 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Canucks | 57c | 98,369$55,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,782.04 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…e56abacked Islanders | 55c | 75,357$41,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,753.97 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canucks | 44c | 59,255$25,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,421.24 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Canucks | 44c | 50,000$22,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,800 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Canucks | 45c | 49,134$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,134.52 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Islanders | 0c | 44,074$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Islanders | 56c | 44,000$24,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,539.97 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…4c4cbacked Islanders | 58c | 34,141$19,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,801.97 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Islanders | 56c | 31,640$17,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,561.6 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Canucks | 43c | 25,625$11,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,522.83 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Canucks | 43c | 22,488$9,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,820.42 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Islanders | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,200 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Islanders | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.97 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Canucks | 44c | 19,246$8,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,777.49 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Canucks | 44c | 16,000$7,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,959.98 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders | 56c | 12,728$7,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,077.59 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Canucks | 44c | 11,595$5,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,493.45 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders | 57c | 10,434$5,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,905.83 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Islanders | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Canucks | 45c | 10,000$4,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,550 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Canucks | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Islanders | 18c | 9,581$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Islanders | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Islanders | 56c | 6,666$3,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.96 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Canucks | 45c | 6,643$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,653.83 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Canucks | 42c | 6,445$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,707.11 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Canucks | 44c | 6,033$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,378.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Canucks | 45c | 5,555$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Canucks | 42c | 5,160$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Islanders | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Canucks | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.98 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…2fd7backed Islanders | 58c | 4,843$2,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders | 10c | 4,432$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.32 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Islanders | 56c | 4,386$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.16 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders | 0c | 4,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Canucks | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Islanders | 56c | 3,542$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Islanders | 57c | 3,307$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Islanders | 57c | 3,241$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.38 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Islanders | 1c | 3,140$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Islanders | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Islanders | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Islanders | 42c | 2,963$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.44 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Canucks | 42c | 2,752$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.1 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9768…f983backed Islanders | 1c | 2,325$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Canucks | 69c | 2,103$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.48 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd43…5db2backed Islanders | 57c | 2,100$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Islanders | 59c | 2,079$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.82 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Islanders | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Canucks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Islanders | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Canucks | 61c | 1,902$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.78 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Islanders | 11c | 1,896$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Canucks | 73c | 1,870$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.96 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Islanders | 56c | 1,846$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.86 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Canucks | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.2 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9640…d0e8backed Canucks | 43c | 1,800$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…276fbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Islanders | 56c | 1,760$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.7 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Canucks | 44c | 1,679$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.24 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Islanders | 33c | 1,672$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.75 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Islanders | 36c | 1,669$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Canucks | 44c | 1,614$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.64 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…619cbacked Islanders | 58c | 1,610$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b43…8ebdbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Islanders | 56c | 1,563$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.86 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Islanders | 55c | 1,545$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.75 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Canucks | 66c | 1,539$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.67 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders | 10c | 1,535$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.17 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f08…4e49backed Canucks | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7db6…45f8backed Canucks | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7136…8378backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120b…6506backed Canucks | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…0791backed Canucks | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd177…d641backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…10f1backed Canucks | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…b5ecbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113a…c009backed Canucks | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9f…b0c0backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…fc14backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d8…6f33backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…f961backed Canucks | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x704c…bc96backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…0d1bbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf97f…248abacked Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.78 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…f040backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe77…753abacked Canucks | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…13c7backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc61e…26c7backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47aa…5c47backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3939…2f98backed Canucks | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…8c81backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…8b66backed Canucks | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b83…6afebacked Canucks | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x855f…4d58backed Canucks | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb65a…6914backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf85…d577backed Canucks | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Islandersthis page
- Canucks vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canucks vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.