NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9ff9b14b68b92fe90d93ae33bfb1fef920510736de2cbe0fae9eb73f61f3d34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Over | 37c | 1,228$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.42 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 65c | 837$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Under | 63c | 640$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.8 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 34c | 535.08$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.93 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…1028backed Under | 63c | 471.98$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 63c | 390$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 33c | 287$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…5714backed Under | 63c | 184.84$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Under | 63c | 158.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 37c | 158.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 64c | 136$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…6a30backed Under | 63c | 116.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 55c | 113.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 23c | 104.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Under | 66c | 76.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 65c | 76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 62c | 71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 35c | 56.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 62c | 47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 36c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Over | 37c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Over | 34c | 35.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Over | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 27.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 66c | 18.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5this page
- Canucks vs. IslandersCanucks won
- Canucks vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.