NHL · resolved market
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1acfb30a2dc3794c6099a0175108c7933bc0065b439deb7ec4906c5917ed259
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Islanders, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders | 34c | 1,139$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.36 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Canucks | 66c | 971.76$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.4 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Islanders | 33c | 374.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Canucks | 65c | 332.78$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Canucks | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Canucks | 67c | 156.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Islanders | 34c | 140$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Canucks | 67c | 123$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e06…b0d9backed Canucks | 67c | 91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…1af0backed Islanders | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…666cbacked Islanders | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Canucks | 64c | 55.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Islanders | 34c | 52.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 799 | 56.1%448 W · 351 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Islanders | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Canucks | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Canucks | 66c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Islanders | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Islanders | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Islanders | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Canucks | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Canucks | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Canucks | 68c | 27.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…9a1dbacked Canucks | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Canucks | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Canucks | 71c | 15.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)this page
- Canucks vs. IslandersCanucks won
- Canucks vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canucks vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.