TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canucks vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,108
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,108 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf1ff…e56abacked Over47c80,241$37,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,473.055749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under53c75,025$39,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,241.451,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Over48c19,136$9,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,185.183743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under53c17,777$9,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,355.1924349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Under55c10,999$6,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,949.5510554.3%57 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0a8…c0eebacked Under50c10,800$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Under52c10,091$5,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,844.591,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf70d…ef69backed Under50c9,605$4,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,802.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x477a…583ebacked Over50c8,596$4,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,298.11742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb530…4422backed Under51c7,100$3,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4901258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x753b…3d0fbacked Under50c6,255$3,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,127.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4740…030bbacked Over49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,940650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…09dcbacked Over50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x421e…4d4dbacked Over50c5,900$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,950366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Over47c5,774$2,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,713.9664242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Over45c4,501$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,025.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Over46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84022546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…b291backed Over50c2,622$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1375…a070backed Over50c2,469$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.48742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9408845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over51c1,861$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95847256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454f…04e7backed Over50c1,843$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Over46c1,628$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7492564%16 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.9836038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over46c1,066$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.31,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020345.3%92 W · 111 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc9…58c7backed Over46c1,013$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.783751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under53c995.23$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.731,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb973…ff16backed Under55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0910746.7%50 W · 57 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Over46c900$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4142839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Under55c549.88$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.452934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Under55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4520951.7%108 W · 101 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Under52c544.44$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.3330152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18476450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over52c392.69$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20436652.7%193 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…14adbacked Over50c330$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Over48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025358.5%148 W · 105 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x273c…7a42backed Under53c298.42$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.2618159.7%108 W · 73 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over57c276.49$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.61,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over45c254.67$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.684953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030447.4%144 W · 160 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Over46c213.12$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0412250%61 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Over48c209.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012756.7%72 W · 55 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.827553.3%40 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under49c172.49$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9748452.3%253 W · 231 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…5c00backed Over46c167.83$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.24641.3%19 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Under54c146.3$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.316753.3%89 W · 78 L+13.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c141.5$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.662,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Under54c140$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.414245.1%64 W · 78 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under54c138$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.483366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf190…255fbacked Under52c134$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd995…9bcbbacked Over46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604334.9%15 W · 28 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.42948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4659950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4549045.3%222 W · 268 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under51c98.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.962,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x636f…819fbacked Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49ec…c4e5backed Under53c81$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.072951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under15c73.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3333735%118 W · 219 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under55c72.27$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6149053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Under55c70.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.786246.8%29 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1272…dd52backed Over49c69$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x816b…5017backed Over47c65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.55520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2721454.2%116 W · 98 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaf1…47a4backed Under54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Under51c52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.482254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under55c52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.41,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2617249.4%85 W · 87 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf86a…9ed1backed Over46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.42556%14 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Under53c36.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.317356.6%98 W · 75 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.369654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3613743.1%59 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7307…b257backed Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.365356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.369159.3%54 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over45c35.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0835248%169 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Over46c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.722552%13 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over46c31.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97de…15eabacked Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.12941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.12650%13 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf683…f2dfbacked Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f6…a31cbacked Under54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.810955%60 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29ab…b38dbacked Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.12060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Under54c25.93$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9369061.6%425 W · 265 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc727…adc2backed Over47c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.811650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…7b2ebacked Over47c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-63.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1c2…e8a3backed Over46c21.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.012334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.